5 picks for today's MLB slate. Make sure you're following @The_PayWindow on Twitter so you don't miss any picks given out there. Odds according to BetSaracen.
SD Padres -1.5 (-125)
Musgrove (SD): 4-0 in his last 5 starts with 2.10 ERA. Against a Pirates hitting below .200 and scoring less than 3 runs per game over the last 14 days.
Zack Greinke (KC) o2.5 K's (+110)
He's hit this mark in 14 of 16 starts, including 8 straight. Yes, the Guardians are 2 best in MLB in K% at only 19%. But 6 of last 7 starters against CLE have hit at least 3 K's. With the line at 2.5, that makes it only 16 batters to hit that 3rd strikeout.
CLE Guardians/KC Royals NRFI (-110)
Shane Bieber (CLE): 13-3 NRFI in 2023; 89-21 (82%) since 2019. 26.6% 1st inning K% & .213 AVG.
Zack Greinke (KC): 14-2 NRFI in 2023; 8-0 at home in 2023; 92-24 since 2019; 50-7 at home since 2019. 1st inning AVG of .217.
DET Tigers/TEX Rangers NRFI (+100)
Reese Olson (DET): 4-0 NRFI in 2023. Hasn't given up a hit or walk in 1st inning this season.
Bradford (TEX): 2-1 NRFI in 2023, 2-0 at home. Giving up .455 AVG and 2.33 WHIP in 1st inning. But his 3 starts were against ATL, @ BAL, and LAA. Much better lineups than DET will send out.
TB Rays/ARI D'backs NRFI (+115)
Zack Littell making his first start for TB. The NRFI is 4-6 in Arizona's last 10. Good spot for some regression back to league average.
Brandon Pfaadt (ARI): 4-1 NRFI this season; 27.3 K% and 1.46 FIP in 1st inning this season.
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