3-1 yesterday, 119-91-16 on the season. 8 picks for today's MLB slate. Odds according to BetSaracen from Saracen Casino Resort.
ATL Braves/MIA Marlins u7.5 (-105)
Bryce Elder, the 23-year-old right-hander for the Braves, looks to continue his early success in limiting a less than stellar Miami Marlins offense. On the other hand, Sandy Alcantara is set to take the mound for the Marlins, boasting a solid home record despite an overall 5.04 ERA this season. Let's dive into the stats and see why this matchup is one you won't want to miss.
First up, we have Bryce Elder, who's been making a name for himself in his relatively short MLB career. Elder, who was Atlanta's fifth-round pick in 2020, has already made 14 big-league starts, with five of them coming against the Marlins. In those five starts, Elder has yet to find a win, posting an 0-2 record with a 3.54 ERA. However, he has shown the ability to limit damage and keep the Braves in games. Last week, Elder faced the Marlins, allowing three homers in 5 1/3 innings, but his team still managed to pull off a 6-4 victory.
Elder's recent performance, combined with the Marlins' less than impressive offensive output, gives us reason to believe he can limit the damage in today's game. Miami's lineup isn't exactly the most feared in the league, so Elder has an opportunity to shine here and prove he can be a reliable starter for the Braves.
On the flip side, we have Sandy Alcantara, the reigning National League Cy Young Award winner who's off to a slow start this season with a 1-2 record and a 5.04 ERA. However, don't let those numbers fool you – Alcantara is a force to be reckoned with when pitching at home. His 3.85 FIP suggests he's not as bad as his ERA indicates, and he's allowing less than 1 home run per 9 innings while holding opposing hitters to a .264 BABIP.
Alcantara's most recent start came against the Braves, where he left with a no-decision after allowing four hits, three walks, and two runs in 5 2/3 innings. He struck out six batters but gave up a homer to Ronald Acuna Jr. to lead off the sixth inning. In 11 career starts against Atlanta, Alcantara has put up a respectable 4-2 record with a 2.48 ERA, showing that he's capable of taming the Braves' potent lineup.
Given Alcantara's home success and his ability to limit home runs, he has a chance to keep the Braves' offense in check today. The Marlins are 10-0 in one-run games this season, so if Alcantara can keep it close, Miami has a shot at sneaking away with a victory.
So, will Bryce Elder manage to silence the Marlins' bats and outperform Sandy Alcantara? Or will Alcantara's home success be enough to stifle the Braves' powerful lineup? Only time will tell, but we're in for a thrilling ride as these two rising stars clash on the mound in this highly anticipated matchup.
NYY Yankees ML (-165)
The Yankees have been on a rough patch lately, with a season-high four-game losing streak and scoring just six runs in that span. However, all hope is not lost for the Bronx Bombers, as they look to get back on track with Gerrit Cole leading the charge tonight against the Cleveland Guardians.
Cole has been nothing short of dominant this season, boasting a 5-0 record with a jaw-dropping 1.11 ERA. His performance places him as the second-lowest ERA of a Yankees starter through his first six starts in a season since 1959. Add to that his impressive 44 strikeouts, and it's clear why Cole is considered one of the best pitchers in the game. With his stellar track record against the Guardians, including a 6-2 win on April 11, it's no wonder that fans and bettors alike are confident that Cole will bring the heat tonight.
On the other side of the mound, Tanner Bibee is set to make his second major league start for the Cleveland Guardians. The rookie right-hander showed promise in his debut, earning a win with a 1.59 ERA and striking out eight in 5 2/3 innings against the Colorado Rockies. However, today's game is a whole different ballpark (literally) as he faces the intimidating atmosphere of Yankee Stadium.
While Bibee may have potential, it's hard to imagine him going toe-to-toe with a seasoned pro like Cole. The pressure is on for the young pitcher, and even if he manages to put up a respectable performance, the odds of him outshining Cole are slim to none.
The Yankees' offense has struggled without Aaron Judge in the lineup, but today's game could be the turning point they need. With Cole on the mound, the team can breathe a little easier knowing that they have one of the best pitchers in the game backing them up. This should, in turn, help the offense regain some confidence and find their groove.
The Guardians, on the other hand, have been inconsistent, going 7-11 in their past 18 games. While they managed to pull off a stunning comeback against the Yankees in the first game of the series, it's unlikely that they'll be able to replicate that success with Cole on the mound. Jose Ramirez has had great success against the Yankees in the past, but one player alone can't carry the team to victory against a powerhouse like Cole.
Yardbarker's Quick Pick suggests that the under of 7.5 runs (-115) is the way to go in this matchup, as both teams have struggled offensively. The Yankees are ranked as the best team in baseball against the under, with the Guardians coming in third. With Cole's dominating presence on the mound and the Yankees' need for a win, it's hard not to see them pulling off a victory today.
While the Yankees have had a rough stretch, today's game features all the ingredients for a Yankees win. With Gerrit Cole's undeniable skill and the potential for the Yankees' offense to regain its footing, I'm confidently predicting that the Bronx Bombers will take home the win against the Cleveland Guardians tonight.
MIN Twins F5 ML (-130)
As the Minnesota Twins gear up to face the Chicago White Sox, I'm stoked to see their offense shine against Michael Kopech, the White Sox Tuesday starter. Kopech's recent performance doesn't inspire much confidence, especially when compared to the Twins' offensive juggernaut that's been tearing up the field lately.
After a morale-lifting win against the Tampa Bay Rays, the White Sox are looking to build on their momentum with the return of their shortstop, Tim Anderson. However, they'll have to face the division leader, Minnesota, a team that has already taken two of three from them this season, with each game being decided by a razor-thin margin of one or two runs. The Twins, on the other hand, are coming off an 8-4 victory against Kansas City, fueled by a seven-run outburst in the third inning.
Byron Buxton has been a standout for the Twins, smashing a three-run home run in their recent win and even debuting the team's new home run celebration. His energy and offensive prowess could be the catalyst that carries the Twins to victory against the White Sox. With a team motto of "Land of 10,000 Rakes" and a toy fishing pole in tow, the Twins have a unique and unifying identity that's all about reeling in those wins.
Now let's talk about the pitching matchup. Michael Kopech (0-3, 7.01 ERA) is set to take the mound for the White Sox. While he has managed to keep opponents in check since surrendering five home runs in his season debut, Kopech still allowed four runs and six hits in a recent loss to the Toronto Blue Jays. His season-low four strikeouts in that game don't bode well for a matchup against the Twins' high-powered offense.
On the other side of the diamond, we've got Joe Ryan (5-0, 2.81) for the Minnesota Twins. Ryan is a force to be reckoned with, becoming the fifth pitcher in franchise history to start a season 5-0 after his victory against the New York Yankees. With zero walks and seven strikeouts in that game, it's no wonder the Twins have won his last nine starts. As Twins manager Rocco Baldelli puts it, "Really, from the day Joe has shown up here, he's given us a chance to win, it feels like every game."
Ryan's previous encounter with the White Sox resulted in a no-decision, but he still managed to hold them to three runs (two earned) and five hits. His performance against the White Sox last season was solid, and I'm confident he'll come out even stronger this time around. Kopech, on the other hand, has a 2-1 record with a 3.74 ERA in eight career games against the Twins, including four starts. Though he's managed 22 strikeouts in 21 2/3 innings, his recent struggles might make it tough for him to keep up with Ryan and the Twins' offense.
I'm putting my money on the Twins' offense to flourish against Kopech. With Buxton's power, Ryan's pitching prowess, and a team identity that's all about raking in the wins, the Minnesota Twins are primed to outshine the White Sox in this upcoming MLB showdown.
BAL Orioles ML (-155)
As the Baltimore Orioles get ready to face the Kansas City Royals in tonight's showdown, it's clear that the O's are on fire with their six-straight series wins and a 19-9 record that marks their best start since 1997. Don't sleep on this orange wave, folks, as the Orioles are poised to unleash their offensive prowess on Royals' left-hander Ryan Yarbrough.
Let's talk about the Orioles' balanced attack for a second. Ryan Mountcastle and Jorge Mateo have been crushing it with six homers apiece, and Mountcastle and Cedric Mullins are leading the team with 21 RBIs each. Mateo has been on a roll, hitting safely in 11 of 12 games while scoring in a career-best seven consecutive games. That's the longest active streak in the American League, people! These guys are not messing around, and their momentum is only building.
On the other hand, Yarbrough has been struggling with a 0-3 record and a 6.35 ERA so far this season. While he's familiar with the Orioles, going 5-3 with a 3.72 ERA in 16 appearances (nine starts) against them, the current version of Baltimore's lineup is not one to be underestimated. Plus, coming off a 77-pitch, four-inning performance in his last start against Arizona, Yarbrough may not have the endurance to keep up with this relentless Orioles squad.
Now let's talk pitching. The Orioles' right-hander Tyler Wells has been rock-solid with a 1-1 record and a 2.79 ERA. He's coming off his first win against Boston, allowing only two runs in 5 2/3 innings, and he leads the majors with a 0.724 WHIP. Wells has already faced the Royals twice this year, winning both games with six-inning performances. He's got Kansas City's number, and it's not looking good for the Royals.
Speaking of the Royals, they're in a world of hurt with a 3-14 slide and a 7-22 start that matches their worst in club history. They've been outscored 81-32 in their last 13 home games, and their 96 runs this season are second fewest in the league, only ahead of Detroit. The Royals are limping into this matchup, and it's hard to see them turning things around against the red-hot Orioles.
While Kansas City's Vinnie Pasquantino leads the team with five homers, and Edward Olivares boasts a career-best nine-game hitting streak, the Royals' offense has been underwhelming as a whole. In fact, they're dead last in the majors with a .624 on-base-plus-slugging-percentage. It's safe to say that the Orioles' pitching staff, including the seemingly untouchable reliever Yennier Cano (who's retired 32 of 33 batters faced in his hitless and walkless 11-inning streak), should have little trouble stifling the Royals' bats.
As we head into tonight's game, the Baltimore Orioles are looking like the smart pick to come out on top. Their explosive offense is a force to be reckoned with, and with Tyler Wells' continued success against the Royals, it's hard to imagine Kansas City finding a way to win. So, if you're looking to ride the orange wave, now's the time to get on board as the Orioles set their sights on crushing the Royals tonight.
STL Cardinals ML (-130)
With Steven Matz ready to take the mound, the Angels' offense is in for a challenge they might not be able to overcome. So, buckle up, sports fans and bettors alike, as we dive into the nitty-gritty details of why the Cardinals are the team to root for today.
First up, let's talk about Steven Matz. The left-handed pitcher has had a rocky start to the season, but there's no denying his potential to bounce back and silence the critics. Matz has demonstrated flashes of brilliance in the past, and today's game against the Angels presents a prime opportunity for him to regain his mojo. The Angels' lineup, while potent, has shown vulnerability against lefties, and Matz has the arsenal to exploit those weaknesses.
Analyzing the Angels' performance against southpaws, we see that their collective .236 batting average leaves something to be desired. The team's on-base percentage (.303) and slugging percentage (.414) also dip when facing left-handed pitchers. Matz, with his career 4.07 ERA and 1.32 WHIP, has the tools to capitalize on these splits and keep the Angels in check.
Moreover, Matz is no stranger to racking up strikeouts, with a career 8.6 K/9 ratio. The Angels' lineup, featuring free-swinging hitters like Shohei Ohtani and Jared Walsh, can be prone to striking out, which plays right into Matz's strengths. With the potential for a high-strikeout performance, Matz can keep the Angels' scoring opportunities to a minimum and give the Cardinals a chance to shine offensively.
Speaking of offense, the Cardinals have a solid lineup that can generate runs against the Angels' pitching staff. Led by the likes of Paul Goldschmidt, Nolan Arenado, and Tyler O'Neill, St. Louis boasts a balanced attack capable of taking advantage of any pitching mistakes. The Angels' pitching staff has been plagued by inconsistency, with a team ERA of 4.62 and a WHIP of 1.36, providing plenty of opportunities for the Cardinals to put runs on the board.
Additionally, the Cardinals' defense has been impressive, with a .987 fielding percentage and a slew of defensive standouts. This stout defense will surely support Matz on the mound, limiting the Angels' chances to capitalize on any potential miscues.
Lastly, let's not forget the home-field advantage. The Cardinals have a strong track record at Busch Stadium, and their passionate fan base will undoubtedly provide a much-needed energy boost for the team. With the crowd behind them and the momentum of a fresh start to the series, the Cardinals are in prime position to make their mark and secure a win against the Angels.
The St. Louis Cardinals have all the ingredients for a winning recipe in today's matchup against the Los Angeles Angels. With Steven Matz poised for a bounce-back performance, a potent offense ready to pounce, and the support of their home crowd, the Cardinals are primed for victory.
ARI Diamondbacks ML (-145)
As we head into this highly anticipated MLB showdown between the Arizona Diamondbacks and the Texas Rangers, all eyes are on D-backs' starting pitcher Zac Gallen. The young ace has been on fire this season, carrying a remarkable 28-inning scoreless streak into his next start against the Rangers. And you know what? We're banking on Gallen to keep that streak alive and secure a win for the Diamondbacks.
Now, let's not discount the Rangers' offense here. They're coming off an impressive 15-2 rout of the Yankees, showcasing their potential to put up big numbers on any given night. However, Gallen's recent performances are simply too good to ignore, and we believe he's got what it takes to stifle the Rangers' bats and guide Arizona to victory.
What's more, the Diamondbacks have been enjoying a 5-0 record in Gallen's last five starts, proving that his success on the mound directly correlates with the team's overall performance. We're not just riding the D-backs on the moneyline (-134) here, but we're also taking them on the run line (-1, +106). With Gallen's streak showing no signs of stopping, it's hard to bet against the Diamondbacks in this matchup.
As far as Gallen's history against the Rangers goes, this will be his second start facing them. In their previous encounter on September 7, 2021, Gallen allowed three runs on six hits while striking out eight batters in 6 2/3 innings. Although he took the loss in that game, it's evident that Gallen has improved since then, and we have every reason to believe he'll be a force to reckon with on the mound this time around.
On the other side of the diamond, the Rangers will be sending right-hander Jon Gray to the mound. Gray has a 5-7 record with a 5.60 ERA over 18 career starts against the Diamondbacks, and his most recent outing saw him giving up three runs in six innings against the Cincinnati Reds. While Gray has the potential to keep the game competitive, we're confident that Gallen's current form will be the deciding factor in this matchup.
There's also the matter of Corbin Carroll, the D-backs' standout outfielder who suffered a left knee injury after crashing into the wall at Coors Field. Although Carroll's status remains uncertain, he expressed hope that he'll only be sidelined for a couple of days. Regardless, the Diamondbacks have shown resilience and adaptability in the face of adversity, as evidenced by their 16-13 record in April. With or without Carroll, Arizona is a formidable team that's hungry for more wins.
Both the Rangers and the Diamondbacks had an off day on Monday, providing them with ample time to prepare for this highly anticipated two-game series at Globe Life Field. As the first meeting between these two clubs since the 2021 season, there's bound to be a palpable sense of excitement and rivalry in the air. And with Arizona bench coach Jeff Banister making his first return to the Rangers' dugout since being fired as their manager in 2018, there's no shortage of intriguing storylines to follow.
However, when all is said and done, we believe that Zac Gallen's phenomenal scoreless streak and the Diamondbacks' recent success will be the main factors that drive them to victory against the Texas Rangers. While we acknowledge the Rangers' offensive potential, Gallen is simply too hot to handle right now, and we're confident he'll be the one to tilt the scales in Arizona's favor.
SD Padres ML (-200)
The San Diego Padres are hungry for a win as they continue to chase the top spot in the National League West. With veteran pitcher Michael Wacha taking the mound against the Cincinnati Reds, the Padres are in prime position to come out on top in this thrilling matchup.
Wacha's 2023 season hasn't been his best, but there are plenty of reasons to believe he can turn things around in this game. Despite a ballooned 6.75 ERA, Wacha has shown promise with an increased strikeout rate of 8.4 per nine innings. Plus, his FIP sits at a more respectable 4.45, indicating that he's had some bad luck on balls in play with opponents hitting .311 off him this season. Positive regression could be just around the corner for Wacha.
The Reds' offense, on the other hand, isn't exactly a powerhouse. They've struggled to generate runs on the road, averaging a mere 3.7 runs per game, and they've hit only five home runs away from home this season. This subpar offense might be just what Wacha needs to regain his confidence and showcase the skills that led to his career renaissance in 2022, when he posted a 3.32 ERA and an opponent's batting average of .233.
Adding to the Padres' advantage is the Reds' second-year starter Graham Ashcraft. Although he's had a solid start to the 2023 season, the Padres' lineup has the potential to break through and capitalize on any mistakes Ashcraft makes. The Padres may have struggled to score at home this season, averaging 3.2 runs per game at Petco Park, but their talented roster can't be underestimated.
Furthermore, the Padres' bullpen has been a reliable force this season, giving them an edge in close games. With the Reds' bullpen ranking 11th in the league in ERA, the Padres have a decent shot at maintaining a lead once Wacha exits the game.
It's also worth noting that both teams have been dealing with some offensive woes. The Padres entered the series with a .215 batting average, ranking last in the National League, while their 3.6 runs per game put them at 27th among MLB teams. Meanwhile, the Reds' road struggles have them tied for 27th in the league in runs per game. This matchup sets the stage for a potential low-scoring affair, where a strong performance from Wacha could make all the difference in securing a Padres win.
All things considered, this game presents a prime opportunity for Wacha to bounce back and showcase his talent. With the Reds' mediocre offense and the Padres' reliable bullpen, it's not a stretch to envision the Padres coming out on top in this matchup.
SEA Mariners ML (-140)
I'm placing my bets on the Mariners to come out on top, and here's why: Logan Gilbert is taking the mound for Seattle, and he's ready to dominate against the A's slumping lineup.
Gilbert, a rising star in the Mariners' rotation, has been holding his own with a .314 BABIP and a respectable 4.23 ERA. He's been steadily improving throughout the season and has shown great potential to shut down opposing hitters. Meanwhile, the Oakland Athletics are having a rough time, and Gilbert's performance today could further expose their weaknesses.
On the flip side, Mason Miller is set to pitch for the Athletics, and to be honest, things aren't looking too bright for him. Miller's stats have been less than impressive, with a .419 BABIP and a whopping 6.48 ERA. The Mariners' hitters should have no problem capitalizing on Miller's struggles and racking up some runs on the scoreboard.
Let's dive into some deets about these two pitchers that make this matchup so intriguing. Logan Gilbert has been a force on the mound, effectively shutting down opponents' offenses with his powerful arsenal of pitches. He's been diligent in his approach, studying hitters' tendencies and adjusting his game plan accordingly. He's the real deal, folks, and the A's better be ready to face the heat.
Mason Miller, on the other hand, hasn't quite found his groove in the big leagues. His two big-league starts have left a lot to be desired, with the A's losing both games and Miller allowing six runs in just 8 1/3 innings. Talk about a rough start to a career. Miller's inexperience and lack of consistency could be the Achilles heel for the Athletics in today's game.
The Mariners should also be riding high on momentum after their thrilling 10-8 win against the Toronto Blue Jays. Cal Raleigh's two homer game, J.P. Crawford's clutch ninth-inning single, and their overall resilience in overcoming an 8-4 deficit are just a few examples of the Mariners' fighting spirit. They've shown they can come back from the brink and snatch victory from the jaws of defeat.
In contrast, the Athletics barely managed to snap their five-game losing streak with a walk-off win against the Blue Jays, thanks to Esteury Ruiz's ninth-inning single. However, their recent struggles and inconsistent performance don't instill much confidence in their ability to handle the Mariners' relentless offense.
Tony Kemp, the A's utility player, even acknowledged their desire to put a tough April behind them. But a fresh calendar page won't be enough to turn things around against a Mariners team that's hungry for victory and ready to make a statement in this series.
So, fellow sports enthusiasts and betting aficionados, keep your eyes on the prize and watch as the Seattle Mariners set sail towards victory against the Oakland Athletics. With Logan Gilbert leading the charge and the Mariners' offense ready to strike, this is a matchup you won't want to miss.
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