We are 108-80-14 on the MLB season. _ picks for today's MLB slate. Odds according to BetSaracen.
ATL Braves ML (-170)
As the Atlanta Braves prepare to go for a four-game sweep against the Miami Marlins, all eyes are on right-hander Kyle Wright, who's had a rough start to the season. But fear not, Braves fans – there's plenty of reason to believe that Wright will bounce back and bring home the win today.
Wright's current 5.93 ERA may be a red flag for some, but when considering the Marlins' offense, which only scores an average of 3 runs per game, his odds of success are looking pretty sweet. And while Wright has been struggling with walks, allowing 5.27 walks per 9 innings, the Marlins offense isn't exactly known for drawing a lot of walks either. This is one of those rare moments where Wright's weakness and the Marlins' shortcomings perfectly align to give our guy the upper hand.
On the flip side, we have the Marlins' left-hander Braxton Garrett stepping up to the plate. While he's had a decent start to the season with a 2.84 ERA, his .371 BABIP is a glaring weakness that the Atlanta Braves' offense is primed to exploit. The Braves have been on fire lately, with shortstop Vaughn Grissom leading the charge in their epic eighth-inning rally on Wednesday, ultimately securing a 6-4 win. It's clear that the Braves' offense has the power and determination to capitalize on Garrett's vulnerability, making them a force to be reckoned with.
Not only is Wright due for a comeback, but he's also got some history on his side. In his five career starts against the Marlins, Wright has a record of 2-2 with a 3.75 ERA, including two impressive wins last season where he threw 11 shutout innings and racked up 17 strikeouts. He's no stranger to dominating the Marlins, and with his team's support, there's no reason to think he can't do it again.
Moreover, statistics from Elias show that the Braves have a whopping 302 wins against the Marlins since 1993, making them their most defeated opponent in baseball. When it comes to head-to-head matchups, it's clear that the Braves have the Marlins' number.
Looking at the bigger picture, this game has some serious implications for both teams. A win for the Braves would mark their first four-game sweep over Miami in Atlanta since August 2018, while the Marlins are desperate to avoid yet another loss. With a rematch between these two National League East rivals already scheduled for next week in Miami, today's game could set the tone for the rest of their encounters this season.
All signs point to a victorious night for the Atlanta Braves. With Kyle Wright poised for a bounce-back performance against a weak Marlins offense and the Braves' own explosive offense ready to take advantage of Braxton Garrett's shortcomings, there's every reason to believe that the Braves will come out on top. So grab your popcorn, tune in, and prepare to witness the redemption of Kyle Wright as the Braves dominate the Marlins – just don't call it a sure thing.
LAD Dodgers ML (-155)
While the upstart Pirates have shown resilience and are currently leading the Central Division, the Dodgers have a history of dominance that's hard to ignore.
The Dodgers are looking to regain the same level of excellence they displayed in their monstrous 2022 season when they won a whopping 111 games. There have been flashes of that dominance, such as their recent comeback from a five-run deficit to win the series opener 8-7, giving them their second three-game winning streak of the year. However, it's essential to acknowledge their inconsistency, as demonstrated by their 8-1 loss to the Pirates on Wednesday.
Despite their recent setback, the Dodgers have the potential to turn things around, thanks to their offensive prowess. In particular, their bullpen has been struggling, and manager Dave Roberts is determined to find a solution. "The consistency of those guys hasn't been there for the most part, and you look at the track records, (they're) pretty good," Roberts said, adding that he'll "keep running them out there until ultimately something changes."
Los Angeles left-hander Julio Urias (3-2, 3.33 ERA) is set to face off against Pittsburgh right-hander Mitch Keller (2-0, 3.64) in the upcoming game. Urias had a rough outing in his last start, giving up five runs and seven hits in just 3 1/3 innings against the Chicago Cubs. However, he's shown resilience in the face of adversity and is eager to bounce back. "It's just one of those bad games. Obviously, we'll look at the video and make those adjustments and go through the game plan," Urias said.
Urias' history against the Pirates is impressive, with a 3-2 record and a 3.19 ERA in seven career games, four of which were starts. On the other hand, Keller has managed four quality starts in a row but has a less stellar record against the Dodgers, going 1-1 with a 7.04 ERA in two career starts. In those appearances, he's only lasted a combined 7 2/3 innings, giving up seven hits and eight walks.
The Dodgers' offense has the firepower to overcome Keller's recent success and capitalize on his weaknesses. With their explosive lineup, the Dodgers have the potential to rack up runs in a hurry, making them a formidable force. Additionally, the Pirates' pitching staff has been inconsistent this season, which could provide opportunities for the Dodgers' offense to shine.
While the Pirates have shown resilience and are enjoying early-season success, it's essential not to underestimate the Dodgers' offensive capabilities. As the game approaches, it'll be crucial for Los Angeles to make the necessary adjustments and bring their A-game to the field. The Dodgers have the talent and the track record to pull off a win, making them a solid pick for anyone looking to put some action on this matchup.
The Los Angeles Dodgers have the firepower and the motivation to bounce back and secure a win against the Pittsburgh Pirates. While the Pirates have been resilient and boast an impressive record, the Dodgers' offensive prowess and determination to regain their 2022 form make them a force to be reckoned with. Expect a high-scoring affair as the Dodgers look to make a statement and cement their status as one of the MLB's elite teams.
SF Giants ML (-145)
It's no secret that both the St. Louis Cardinals and San Francisco Giants have had a rocky start to the 2023 MLB season, but the upcoming matchup between these two teams is shaping up to be a turning point for the Giants. With Logan Webb on the mound and an opportunistic offense ready to capitalize on Miles Mikolas' recent issues, it's hard not to see the Giants walking away from this one with a big W.
Let's break it down, starting with the Cardinals' pitching situation. St. Louis is sending Miles Mikolas to the mound, hoping he can turn things around after a less-than-stellar start to the season. However, the stats paint a grim picture for Mikolas and the Cardinals. In his four starts this season, Mikolas has allowed at least four runs in three of those outings, resulting in a rough 5.56 ERA. To put it simply, Mikolas is in a slump, and the Giants are ready to pounce.
On the flip side, the Giants have Logan Webb taking the mound, and his recent performances have been nothing short of impressive. After bouncing back from an injury-riddled 2022 season, Webb has returned to his 2021 form, when he helped the Giants secure the National League West division title. In his four starts this season, Webb has posted a solid 2.64 ERA, averaging six innings per outing and issuing just two walks. It's clear that Webb is locked in and ready to deliver another quality start for the Giants.
But it's not just the pitching matchup that has us feeling confident in the Giants' chances. San Francisco's offense has been flexing its power, ranking third among MLB teams in home runs per game. With eight different players contributing at least three home runs each, the Giants' lineup is a force to be reckoned with. Combine that with Mikolas' tendency to give up 1.5 home runs per nine innings, and it's easy to see how the Giants can capitalize on his struggles.
Furthermore, the Cardinals' lineup has had a tough time producing runs on the road. While they boast the league's second-best home batting average at .286, their road average drops to a less impressive .238, ranking 20th in the league. This could spell trouble for the Cardinals as they face off against Webb in the Bay Area.
Of course, it's important to remember that baseball is a game of unpredictability, and there are no guarantees in sports betting. However, the data and trends we've examined point to a favorable outcome for the Giants in this matchup. With a strong pitching performance from Logan Webb and an offense that's ready to exploit Miles Mikolas' recent woes, the San Francisco Giants have a prime opportunity to turn their season around and snag a much-needed win.
So, for all you betting enthusiasts out there, keep a close eye on this Giants vs. Cardinals matchup. With Logan Webb's quality starts and the Giants' potent offense facing off against a struggling Miles Mikolas, it's hard not to lean towards the San Francisco Giants coming out on top. Just remember to bet responsibly and enjoy the thrill of the game.
OAK Athletics/LAA Angels u8.5 (-105)
Baseball fans and betting enthusiasts, get ready: this showdown between the Oakland Athletics and the Los Angeles Angels has all the makings of an edge-of-your-seat, low-scoring thriller that's likely to stay under the total. With both teams bringing their A-game, this is a matchup you won't want to miss.
First, let's talk about the Angels' dominating force, Shohei Ohtani. He's been absolutely crushing it this season, racking up six homers and 16 RBIs in just 25 games. That's not all - Ohtani's been showing off his speed, too, stealing bases left and right. The dude is seriously unstoppable. Sure, his .253 batting average isn't the highest on the team, but there's no denying he's a force to be reckoned with.
The Angels also boast a solid slugger in Brandon Drury, who's been red-hot lately, boosting his batting line to .238/.267/.463 over the past three games. Drury's been hitting homers like it's nobody's business, with three in the last three games alone. Add in Hunter Renfroe, who leads the Angels with seven homers and 19 RBIs, and you've got some serious firepower.
Now, let's dive into some stats that point towards this game staying under the total. Both teams have had their fair share of struggles at the plate, with the Angels ranking 24th in the league in batting average at .229 and the A's not far behind at 26th with a .225 average. Sure, both squads have some heavy hitters, but they've also got plenty of cold bats, too.
On top of that, the Angels' bullpen has been a bit shaky, with Austin Warren landing on the injured list due to right elbow discomfort. While Chase Silseth has been called up from Triple-A Salt Lake as a replacement, there's no telling how he'll perform on the big stage just yet. The A's also have their own bullpen issues, with their relievers ranking 28th in the MLB in ERA at 5.31. With both bullpens a bit iffy, we could see some low-scoring innings as the game progresses.
So, what does all this mean for the game's total? Well, with the combination of strong pitching performances from both teams, plenty of cold bats, and shaky bullpens, this matchup has all the ingredients for a low-scoring affair that could stay under the total.
MIN Twins F5 ML (-175) & Royals/Twins o8.5 (+105)
In a season where pitching has often taken center stage, it's refreshing to see a game that promises to light up the scoreboard and give us a taste of the offensive fireworks we crave. With the Kansas City Royals and Minnesota Twins set to face off, we can expect plenty of scoring opportunities and a run-fest that should have even the most casual bettors salivating. Let's dive into the details and see why this matchup is shaping up to be a true slugfest.
First off, let's talk about the starting pitchers. Tyler Mahle is slated to take the mound for the Kansas City Royals. While he's been decent this season, with a 3.32 ERA, he's coming off a tough stretch of games against the New York Yankees and Houston Astros. Though he managed to hold the Washington Nationals to just one run in his last outing, the Royals' dismal offense has left him with little room for error.
On the other side, the Minnesota Twins will send Zack Greinke to the hill. Greinke has had his struggles this season, particularly against left-handed hitters, who have posted a whopping .375 wOBA against him. With the Twins boasting a lineup filled with dangerous lefty bats like Max Kepler (3% rostered), Joey Gallo (12% rostered), Trevor Larnach (2% rostered), and switch-hitter Jorge Polanco (57% rostered), it's not hard to see why the odds are stacked against the veteran right-hander in this matchup.
Speaking of the Twins' lineup, they've got plenty of reasons to be licking their chops heading into this game. Not only do they have the aforementioned lefty sluggers, but Polanco has been on fire since returning from the injured list, racking up nine hits (including four doubles and a homer) with six RBIs in his first five games. With Greinke's struggles against left-handers well-documented, it's no surprise that the Twins are in a prime position to put up some serious runs.
Now, let's not forget about the Royals. Despite their struggles on offense this season, ranking dead last in wRC+ (67) and 29th in wOBA (.268), they're still a major league lineup capable of capitalizing on mistakes. Mahle, while solid overall, has shown vulnerability against potent offenses, and the Royals could certainly catch him on an off day. If they can string together some timely hits and take advantage of any lapses in Mahle's command, they could very well contribute to the high-scoring affair we're anticipating.
In addition to the starting pitching matchups, both teams' bullpens provide even more reason to believe that runs will be plentiful in this game.
With all of these factors converging, it's clear that the stage is set for an offensive explosion in the upcoming Royals-Twins showdown. Both starting pitchers will have their hands full with dangerous lineups, and the bullpens won't provide much relief when it comes to keeping the score down. So, for those looking to capitalize on this potential run-fest, don't sleep on the over in this game – it's shaping up to be a wild ride.
NYY Yankees ML (-165) & Yankees/Rangers o7.5 (-115)
For all the MLB enthusiasts and betting aficionados out there, the New York Yankees are the team to watch as they head to Arlington, Texas, for a four-game series against the Rangers. After a solid 12-6 victory over the Minnesota Twins on Wednesday, the Yankees are in prime position to dominate the Rangers, and here's why.
First and foremost, let's talk about the man of the hour, Gerrit Cole. The Yankees' ace is off to a blistering start this season with a 4-0 record and a jaw-dropping 0.79 ERA. Cole has yet to allow a home run in five starts this year, a feat that should not be taken lightly considering he gave up a league-worst 33 dingers last season. With his incredible form and the Rangers lineup struggling to find consistency, Cole is set to be a force to be reckoned with in Arlington.
The Yankees' bats are also heating up at the right time. After a stretch where they scored three runs or less in 10 of their previous 12 games, they managed to set a season-high with 14 hits against the Twins, including five doubles and a homer from Gleyber Torres. Rookie Anthony Volpe also made his presence felt, knocking in three runs and scoring three times. The offensive resurgence is just what the doctor ordered for the Bronx Bombers, and it couldn't have come at a better time.
Aaron Judge, who celebrated his 31st birthday with a three-hit, three-RBI performance against the Twins, is a key figure in the Yankees' offensive revival. He managed to dodge an injury scare to his right hand and is ready to make an impact in Texas, where he hit his historic 62nd home run last October, breaking the 61-year-old American League record previously held by Roger Maris. Judge's presence in the lineup is crucial, and with him firing on all cylinders, the Rangers will undoubtedly have their hands full.
The Texas Rangers, on the other hand, are experiencing their first rough patch under new manager Bruce Bochy. They were swept in a three-game series by the Cincinnati Reds earlier this week, blowing leads of four and six runs in the process. While Bochy remains confident in his team's ability to bounce back, this rough stretch could make it difficult for them to regroup and find their footing against a Yankees squad that's starting to find its rhythm.
It's worth noting that the Rangers will have their work cut out for them as they send left-hander Andrew Heaney to the mound in the series opener. Heaney, who's seeking his third consecutive winning decision, will face a stern test against the Yankees' potent lineup. The southpaw, who went 2-2 with a 7.32 ERA in 12 appearances (five starts) for the Yankees last year, has a career 1-2 record and a 5.47 ERA against his former team. Heaney will need to bring his A-game if he hopes to stifle the Yankees' resurgent offense.
The New York Yankees are in prime position to take down the Texas Rangers in their upcoming four-game series. With Gerrit Cole's stellar form on the mound and the Yankees' offense showing signs of life, expect them to capitalize on the Rangers' recent struggles and walk away with a series win. While nothing in sports is ever a sure thing, the odds are certainly in the Yankees' favor for this showdown in Arlington. So, hop on the Cole Train, and get ready for a thrilling ride as the Yankees look to continue their climb up the MLB standings.
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