99-74-14 on the MLB season, looking for our 100th cashed ticket on the early MLB season. 7 picks for today's MLB slate. Odds according to Bet Saracen from Saracen Casino Resort.
Baltimore Orioles ML (-160)
The Tampa Bay Rays have been stealing headlines with their scorching start to the season, but both the Orioles and the Red Sox have shown they can score runs in bunches. The Orioles rank sixth in the league in runs per game, while the Red Sox hold the fourth spot, averaging 5.7 runs per game on the road. But when it comes to this specific matchup, the Orioles should have the upper hand.
Orioles' starter Kyle Bradish may have a 4.60 ERA since his call-up to the Majors last season, but that hasn't stopped him from battling through games and keeping his team in contention. His 3.4 walks per nine innings and a 5.00 ERA at home may not be the most appealing stats, but with the support of a red-hot offense, Bradish has a chance to outduel his counterpart on the mound.
Speaking of that counterpart, Corey Kluber has had a rough go of it since being acquired by the Red Sox. He's lost all four of his starts, posting an abysmal 8.50 ERA and allowing at least four runs in three of those four outings. This type of performance won't cut it against the Orioles' relentless lineup, which should be licking their chops at the opportunity to face a struggling Kluber.
Furthermore, the Red Sox's bullpen hasn't been doing their starters any favors. Since the 2022 All-Star Break, Boston's relief corps ranks 28th in the league with a 5.12 ERA. On the other hand, the Orioles' bullpen has been much more reliable, ranking 14th in ERA during this span. If the game turns into a battle of the bullpens, the Orioles have a clear advantage over their division rivals.
It's also worth noting that the over has hit in 16 of the Red Sox's first 23 games of the season, a trend that could continue in this matchup given the offensive firepower on display and the struggles of both starting pitchers. With both lineups swinging for the fences, expect a high-scoring game where the Orioles ultimately come out on top.
The young and explosive Baltimore Orioles offense is set to capitalize on Corey Kluber's recent struggles and outperform the Boston Red Sox in their upcoming MLB showdown. With a strong bullpen to back up their starter and an offense that just can't seem to be stopped, the Orioles have all the ingredients needed to secure a victory in this AL East battle. While nothing in sports is ever a certainty, it's hard not to feel confident in the Orioles' chances of coming out on top in this high-scoring affair.
Texas Rangers ML (-145)
The Cincinnati Reds may have scored a walk-off win, thanks to TJ Friedl's ninth-inning single, but their offense is far from consistent. While they showed they could rally after trailing 6-4 with two outs in the eighth inning, I doubt they can pull off another miracle against the Rangers' pitching lineup. The Reds' offense has struggled to produce consistent run support, which will be their downfall against a Texas team that's been on fire lately.
On the other hand, the Rangers have been averaging a whopping 8.75 runs per game over their past eight contests. With power hitters like Josh Jung, who went 2-for-4 with two home runs and three RBIs in the previous game, the Rangers have the offensive firepower to outscore the Reds. Ezequiel Duran's impressive 3-for-4 performance with a double and a run adds to the Rangers' offensive prowess, making them a formidable opponent for the Reds.
While the Reds pinned their hopes on Alexis Diaz (1-1) to pitch a scoreless ninth inning in the previous game, their starting pitcher, Nick Lodolo, allowed six runs on nine hits, including two homers. This shaky performance from their starter could be a sign of things to come for the Reds, and I don't expect them to keep up with the Rangers' offensive output.
Looking ahead to Tuesday's game, the Rangers are sending left-hander Martin Perez (3-1, 3.38) to the mound. Perez has been consistently solid this season, allowing only three runs on eight hits with three strikeouts and no walks over 5 2/3 innings in a 12-3 win over the Kansas City Royals last Wednesday. This will be Perez's first time pitching against the Reds in nearly a decade, and his second appearance against them in his 12-year MLB career. In his previous outing against Cincinnati, Perez threw 6 2/3 shutout innings, only allowing six hits with three strikeouts and a walk in a 4-0 win in June 2013.
The Reds, on the other hand, are putting their faith in right-hander Luke Weaver (0-1, 6.00 ERA) to take the mound. Weaver, who joined the Reds on a one-year deal during the offseason, had a rough start in his debut last Thursday against the Pittsburgh Pirates. He allowed four first-inning runs before following with five shutout innings in a 4-3 loss. Although Weaver managed to rack up eight strikeouts against two walks and four hits, his shaky start doesn't inspire much confidence in the Reds' ability to handle the Rangers' explosive offense.
Both teams have their strengths, but the Texas Rangers' strong offense and the reliability of Martin Perez on the mound outweigh the Reds' recent walk-off win. The Rangers are determined to bounce back from their bullpen collapse and prove they can handle the pressure. As the Reds continue to struggle in providing run support, it's clear that the Texas Rangers have the upper hand in this MLB showdown.
Tampa Bay Rays ML (-170)
Get ready, sports fans, because we're about to dive deep into the world of BABIP, and more specifically, why Drew Rasmussen's BABIP is primed to dip under the .255 line in the upcoming game against the Houston Astros. Now, I know what you're thinking: "BABIP, really?" But trust me, this stat can be a goldmine for those in the betting community looking to capitalize on overlooked trends.
For the uninitiated, BABIP stands for Batting Average on Balls in Play. It's essentially a measure of how often a ball put into play by a batter results in a hit, excluding home runs. In other words, it's a way to gauge a pitcher's ability to limit opponents' production when they make contact. And when it comes to Drew Rasmussen, the numbers suggest that he's ready to have a standout performance against a formidable Astros lineup.
First, let's talk about Rasmussen's recent performances. In his last few outings, the young hurler has shown flashes of brilliance, mixing in a variety of pitches and keeping hitters off balance. Sure, he's had some ups and downs, but that's to be expected from a pitcher still finding his footing in the big leagues. What's important is that the underlying numbers paint a picture of a pitcher who's ready to break out and make a statement on the mound.
One of the key factors in Rasmussen's favor is his ability to generate weak contact. When opposing batters do manage to make contact, they're often left with very little to show for it. This can be attributed to Rasmussen's deceptive delivery and pitch movement, which keeps hitters guessing and unable to square up the ball with authority. The result? A higher likelihood of easy outs and a lower BABIP.
Now, let's talk about the Astros. There's no denying that they have a potent offense, but even the most explosive lineups can be tamed by the right pitcher. And in this case, Rasmussen's skillset is tailor-made for neutralizing the Astros' biggest weapons. His ability to mix in off-speed pitches and locate them effectively will be crucial in keeping the Astros' hitters off balance, thus limiting their ability to make solid contact and drive the ball.
Moreover, recent trends suggest that the Astros' offense might be due for a slowdown. While they've had their fair share of success, no team can maintain a torrid pace indefinitely. With Rasmussen on the mound and the law of averages working in his favor, the stage is set for the Astros to have a quieter game at the plate than they're accustomed to.
Lastly, let's take a moment to appreciate the context of this matchup. Rasmussen will be facing off against a formidable Astros lineup, which means he'll need to be at his absolute best to keep them in check. This added pressure, combined with the natural adrenaline that comes with pitching in a high-stakes game, could serve as the perfect catalyst for Rasmussen to elevate his game and reach new heights on the mound.
So, there you have it. Drew Rasmussen is primed to limit the Astros' production, making the under for his BABIP line of .255 an intriguing play for those looking to ride the wave of this overlooked trend. Sure, there's no such thing as a surefire bet in the world of sports, but when you dig into the numbers and analyze the context, it's hard not to get excited about Rasmussen's potential in this matchup.
Seattle Mariners ML (-120)
First and foremost, let's take a look at the Mariners' recent success. Fresh off a strong series in which they won two of three against the St. Louis Cardinals, the Mariners are gaining momentum as they head into their nine-game road trip. This confidence boost, coupled with their lineup's ability to put a lot of balls in play, is a recipe for scoring opportunities that the Phillies may struggle to contain.
One standout performer in the Mariners' lineup is Jarred Kelenic. The young phenom has been locked in at the plate, hitting opposite field home runs in consecutive games and showcasing his ability to cover the entire plate. Kelenic currently leads the team with six home runs and a .319 batting average. But what's even more impressive is his work ethic and attitude - he's always looking ahead, focused on the next challenge.
Manager Scott Servais has praised Kelenic's development, pointing out that he couldn't have made those opposite-field hits just a year ago. This speaks volumes about Kelenic's dedication to improving his game, and as he stays locked in, he'll continue to be a catalyst for the Mariners' offense.
On the other hand, the Phillies may have a few chinks in their armor. While they did find their groove in a recent series against the Colorado Rockies, hitting seven home runs and winning three straight games, they've been without two of their key players, Bryce Harper and Rhys Hoskins. Manager Rob Thomson has remained upbeat, but the absence of these sluggers is bound to have an impact on the team's performance.
As the Phillies look to extend their winning streak, they'll be sending left-hander Bailey Falter to the mound. Falter, who's searching for his first victory this season, carries an 0-3 record with a 4.50 ERA. In his lone career start against the Mariners last year, he allowed one run over 4 2/3 innings. While that may not sound too concerning, the Mariners' lineup has only improved since then, making this a tough challenge for Falter.
To aid their pitching staff, the Phillies have made some roster moves, optioning Cristopher Sanchez to Triple-A Lehigh Valley and recalling Yunior Marte to bolster their bullpen. But will these changes be enough to hold back the Mariners' surging offense?
In addition to Kelenic, the Mariners' batting order is filled with talent. Logan Gilbert, who's scheduled to start for the Mariners, boasts a 1-1 record with a 3.57 ERA. In his only career start against the Phillies, he has a 0-1 record with a 7.20 ERA, but that small sample size shouldn't deter fans from placing their faith in him. With a solid pitching performance and the support of a formidable lineup, Gilbert and the Mariners have the tools to secure a win.
Ultimately, the game is sure to be a thrilling showdown between two talented teams. But when push comes to shove, the Mariners' lineup is primed to capitalize on scoring opportunities and come out on top. As the saying goes, "You can't win if you don't score," and the Mariners are proving that they have what it takes to put runs on the board and secure victories.
Chicago White Sox/Toronto Blue Jays o9.5 (+100)
First off, let's talk about the White Sox's recent struggles. They're currently sitting at 9 games under .500, having lost their last five games, including a 5-2 loss to the Blue Jays yesterday. Their road woes continue with a six-game road losing streak, and their offense has been lackluster, to say the least. However, we know that this team is capable of putting up big numbers, and as the saying goes, "regression to the mean" might be in order for this underperforming squad. With a chip on their shoulder, the White Sox could be due for a breakout game offensively.
On the other side, we've got the Toronto Blue Jays, who have been hitting the ball well lately. They're coming off a big series win against the Yankees and managed to put up five runs against the White Sox in the previous game. With players like George Springer and Cavan Biggio in the lineup, the Jays' offense has the potential to light up the scoreboard. Biggio, in particular, was the hero yesterday, smashing a three-run homer to secure the win. With the Jays looking to build on their recent success, they're going to come out swinging.
Another key factor in this matchup is the starting pitchers. We know that last night's Blue Jays' starter, Chris Bassitt, left the game with a right lower back tightness issue. This could potentially impact their bullpen, especially if they need to rely on their relief pitchers more heavily in today's game. This could lead to more scoring opportunities for both teams.
Now, let's talk about some numbers. The Rogers Centre, where the Blue Jays play their home games, is known for being a hitter-friendly park. In fact, it ranks in the top 10 for most home runs and runs scored in the league. Couple that with the fact that both teams' offenses have the potential to put up big numbers, and we have a recipe for a high-scoring affair.
Lastly, let's look at some recent trends. The over has hit in 4 of the last 5 games played between these two teams, suggesting a strong likelihood of another high-scoring game today. Additionally, the White Sox have a history of bouncing back from poor performances, with the over hitting in 6 of their last 8 games following a loss.
So, there you have it, folks. With the White Sox looking to break out of their slump, the Blue Jays riding a wave of offensive momentum, and the hitter-friendly confines of Rogers Centre, I'm confidently taking the over 9.5 total score in today's game.
Atlanta Braves F5 -1 (-105)
Baseball fans, if you're looking for an exciting MLB matchup that has the potential to be a big win for the Atlanta Braves, then look no further than their upcoming game against the Miami Marlins. With the Braves boasting a powerful offense and Charlie Morton ready to shut down the Marlins' weak lineup, this is a game you won't want to miss.
First up, let's talk about Charlie Morton and why he's the key to Atlanta's success in this game. The seasoned right-hander has been a consistent force on the mound, and this matchup against the Marlins has all the makings of another standout performance. The Marlins' offense has been struggling mightily this season, ranking 29th in both runs scored and runs batted in. With such a lackluster performance at the plate, it's hard to imagine the Marlins putting up much of a fight against Morton's pitching prowess.
On the other side of the coin, the Braves' offense has been absolutely crushing it this season. They're currently ranked 3rd in home runs and 6th in runs scored, which means they're more than capable of providing Morton with the run support he needs to secure a win. When you combine that kind of offensive firepower with Morton's ability to keep the Marlins' bats quiet, it's easy to see why the Braves are in prime position to come out on top in this game.
Now, let's dive into some stats to further illustrate why the Braves are the smart pick against the spread of -1. In their recent games, the Braves have had some tough battles, including being swept by the Houston Astros. However, with Spencer Strider's strong performance on the mound in his latest start against the San Diego Padres – allowing just one hit and no runs in six innings – the Braves are showing signs of a resurgence. Additionally, Strider has consistently struck out nine batters in each of his starts, adding to the Braves' overall strength in pitching.
Furthermore, the Braves will undoubtedly be entering this game with a chip on their shoulder after their recent struggles. This added motivation could be just the spark they need to get back on track and avoid falling into a slump. With their powerful lineup and Morton's ability to keep the Marlins' offense in check, the Braves are in prime position to not only win this game, but to cover the spread as well.
Everything is lining up for the Atlanta Braves to shine in their upcoming game against the Miami Marlins. With Charlie Morton set to dominate the Marlins' weak lineup and the Braves' offense ready to explode, this game has all the makings of a big win for Atlanta. So, for all you sports bettors out there, don't miss out on the opportunity to back the Braves against the spread of -1. It's a matchup that's ripe for the taking, and it's time for the Braves to show that they're still a force to be reckoned with in the MLB.
Chicago Cubs F5 ML (-125)
First off, we've got a stellar pitching matchup in store. Justin Steele has been nothing short of dominant this season, boasting a 3-0 record and a jaw-dropping 1.44 ERA. Opposing batters have been held to a measly .163 batting average and his WHIP sits at a cool 0.88. Steele's performance on the mound has been a key driver for the Cubs' success, and it's hard to see the Padres breaking through his ironclad control.
On the flip side, Padres' pitcher Blake Snell has been struggling to find his footing this season. With an 0-3 record and a 6.00 ERA, Snell's numbers don't exactly inspire confidence. His 6.5 BB/9 and .354 BABIP allowed only add to the growing list of concerns. To make matters worse, he's up against a Cubs offense that's ranked 2nd in batting average – talk about a tough draw.
One of the Cubs' top threats at the plate is Nico Hoerner, who's been on fire this season with a .355 batting average. Snell has never faced Hoerner, and I wouldn't be surprised if the young phenom takes advantage of the opportunity to add to his impressive stats. Other Cubs hitters like Trey Mancini and Yan Gomes have experience against Snell, combining for a 6-for-22 record. Their familiarity with Snell's pitching could give them the edge they need to rack up some runs.
Cody Bellinger, though 1-for-9 with four strikeouts against Snell, has been heating up lately with a .380 batting average, four home runs, five doubles, and nine RBIs in his last 13 games. If Bellinger can maintain his hot streak, it'll be another nightmare for Snell on the mound.
While the Padres have managed to find some success with the return of Fernando Tatis Jr. and Joe Musgrove, their overall performance this season has been far from inspiring. Their recent series win against Arizona showcased some offensive firepower, but the Cubs are a different beast entirely. The Padres will have to bring their A-game if they want to stand a chance against Chicago, and it's hard to see that happening with Snell's current struggles.
Meanwhile, Steele's only previous start against the Padres was a commanding 4-1 victory, where he allowed just one run over seven innings. Jake Cronenworth, a bright spot for the Padres, managed to snag a couple of hits off Steele in that game, but it wasn't enough to secure a win. The odds of a different outcome this time around seem slim given Steele's continued dominance on the mound.
In the end, the numbers don't lie. Justin Steele's exceptional pitching, coupled with the Cubs' explosive offense, make for a winning combination that's hard to bet against. The Padres may have found some recent success, but they'll need more than a couple of victories under their belt to take down a red-hot Chicago team.
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