57-34-7 on the season. 8 picks from predictive model for today's MLB slate. Odds according to BetSaracen from Saracen Casino Resort.
Yankees/Guardians NRFI (-120)
Cole 26-6 overall, 14-2 on the road
Gaddis 2-0 overall, 2-0 at home
Mariners/Cubs NRFI (+110)
Flexen (SEA) 18-4 overall, 9-3 on the road
Wesneski (CHI) 4-0 overall, 2-0 at home
Red Sox/Rays u7.5 (-115)
Baseball fans, buckle up for a pitching showdown at Tropicana Field as the Boston Red Sox take on the undefeated Tampa Bay Rays. With Garrett Whitlock toeing the rubber for the Sox and Shane McClanahan doing the same for the Rays, we're in for an intense battle that could very well go under the total.
Whitlock has been a force to be reckoned with, despite being sidelined with a hip injury earlier this season. The Red Sox hurler has shown resilience and remarkable control, keeping opposing hitters off-balance and struggling to make solid contact. But he's not the only one bringing the heat tonight.
Enter Shane McClanahan, the Rays' homegrown southpaw who's been nothing short of dominant when pitching in front of the hometown crowd. In fact, McClanahan's performances at Tropicana Field have been so impressive that games with him on the hill have a history of going under the combined game total. That's right, when this guy is dealing, runs become a rare commodity.
But let's dive into some numbers here. Whitlock has been a reliable arm for the Red Sox, putting up a solid ERA and WHIP while racking up strikeouts at an impressive clip. The same can be said for McClanahan, who's been lights out at home, holding opposing batters to a paltry batting average and maintaining a remarkable strikeout-to-walk ratio. These are the stats that make bettors and fantasy baseball managers alike salivate.
Now, we know that past performance doesn't always predict future results, but it's hard to ignore the trends here. Both Whitlock and McClanahan have shown a consistent ability to keep runs off the board, and when you combine that with the fact that they're both pitching in a game that has the potential to be a low-scoring affair, it's easy to see why going under the total seems like the play to make.
Of course, we can't forget about the lineups these pitchers are facing. The Red Sox have been heating up offensively, but they'll have their work cut out for them against McClanahan and the Rays' bullpen. On the other side, the Rays have been putting up impressive numbers against right-handed pitching, but they'll be facing a tough test in Whitlock, who's been effective against both righties and lefties.
So, what does all of this mean for tonight's game? Well, if Whitlock and McClanahan continue their trend of stifling opposing offenses, and both lineups struggle to put runs on the board, we could be in for a nail-biter that stays under the total. It's far from a lock, but the data suggests that this game has all the makings of a pitcher's duel for the ages.
Remember, though, that anything can happen in the world of sports, and there's no such thing as a surefire bet. But if you're looking for an angle on this Red Sox vs. Rays matchup, keep an eye on the pitching duel between Whitlock and McClanahan, and don't be surprised if the game ends up going under the total.
Padres/Mets o8.5 (-130)
Buckle up, folks, because we're in for a wild ride as the San Diego Padres face off against the New York Mets in what's shaping up to be an explosive match-up. With Ryan Weathers on the mound for the Padres and David Peterson pitching for the Mets, history tells us that games featuring these two hurlers tend to go over the combined total, so you might want to consider that angle when placing your bets tonight.
Weathers, the Padres' southpaw, has shown promise in his young MLB career, but he's also had his share of games where the runs just keep piling up. In 2022, Weathers had a 4.45 ERA, with opposing teams scoring an average of 4.4 runs per game when he started. While he's got some serious potential, he's not quite the shutdown pitcher that you'd want on the mound when you're trying to keep the score low.
On the other side, the Mets are sending out David Peterson, another lefty who's had some struggles with keeping the runs at bay. Last season, Peterson posted a 4.54 ERA, and games with him as the starting pitcher averaged 5.3 runs scored by the opposition. While he's got a solid fastball and a decent slider in his arsenal, Peterson hasn't yet proven to be a consistent force on the mound, which could spell trouble for the Mets in this match-up.
Now, let's talk about the offensive firepower that both of these teams possess. The Padres have been on a tear lately, scoring at least four runs in six straight games, and they're coming off a 10-run outburst against the Atlanta Braves. With the likes of Fernando Tatis Jr., Manny Machado, and newcomer CJ Abrams in the lineup, this team has the potential to put up some serious numbers on any given night.
The Mets, on the other hand, have had their ups and downs offensively, but they've still managed to tally at least five runs in two of their last three games. With a lineup that includes Pete Alonso, Francisco Lindor, and Michael Conforto, the Mets have more than enough firepower to keep up with the Padres in a high-scoring affair.
So, what does all of this mean for tonight's game? Well, with both starting pitchers having a history of games going over the total, and both lineups featuring some serious offensive threats, we're likely in for a high-scoring showdown at Citi Field. While it's never a good idea to throw around phrases like "sure thing" or "safe bet," the numbers and recent performances certainly suggest that we could be in for a game that goes over the total.
Now, I'm not saying that this game is going to be a total slugfest with runs piling up left and right, but given the history of both starting pitchers and the offensive capabilities of both teams, it certainly seems like a strong possibility. So, if you're looking to get in on the action tonight, you might want to consider riding the wave and betting on the over.
To sum it all up, tonight's Padres vs. Mets match-up has all the makings of a high-scoring affair, and with both Weathers and Peterson taking the mound, history tells us that we could be in for an exciting, run-filled game.
Reds/Braves u8.5 (+115)
What's more exciting than a good ol' fashioned pitcher's duel? Well, if you're a sports bettor, it could mean cashing in on the under. In today's MLB matchup between the Cincinnati Reds and the Atlanta Braves, we're in for a treat as two talented pitchers – Luis Cessa for the Reds and Kyle Wright for the Braves – are set to go head-to-head on the mound.
First, let's talk about the visiting team's pitcher, Luis Cessa. This right-hander has been making waves in the league with his impressive performances on the mound. With a strong fastball and a nasty slider in his arsenal, Cessa has the ability to keep opposing batters guessing and, more importantly, off the basepaths. When Cessa is on his game, he's a force to be reckoned with, and we're expecting him to bring his A-game today against the Braves.
But don't sleep on the home team's pitcher, Kyle Wright. This young right-handed pitcher has been a revelation for the Braves, especially when he's pitching at home. There's something about the friendly confines of the Braves' stadium that brings out the best in Wright, as he consistently delivers strong outings in front of the home crowd. With a solid mix of pitches, including a wicked curveball that leaves batters flailing, Wright has the tools to shut down the Reds' offense.
Now, let's dive into some numbers. Historically, games featuring a strong home pitcher tend to go under the total. In fact, when you combine Wright's home success with Cessa's recent form, it's hard to see this game turning into a high-scoring slugfest. Both pitchers have shown that they can keep the opposition in check, which should lead to a low-scoring affair in today's matchup.
Of course, baseball is a game of unpredictability, and anything can happen once the first pitch is thrown. However, when you consider the pitching prowess on display in this game, it's hard not to lean towards the under as the most likely outcome.
Another factor to consider is the caliber of the offenses these pitchers will be facing. While both the Reds and the Braves have their fair share of sluggers, each lineup also has its share of holes that can be exploited by a savvy pitcher. Expect Cessa and Wright to exploit these weaknesses to their advantage, further supporting the notion of a low-scoring game.
So, if you're looking for a betting angle to consider for today's Reds vs Braves showdown, the under seems like a solid play. With two talented pitchers on the mound and a history of games with strong home pitchers going under the total, this matchup is shaping up to be a pitcher's duel for the ages. And for those of you looking to cash in on the action, a bet on the under could prove to be a wise investment.
But remember, sports betting is never an exact science, and there's always a degree of risk involved. While we're confident in our analysis, it's important to never bet more than you can afford to lose. With that being said, grab your popcorn and get ready for an epic battle on the mound between Luis Cessa and Kyle Wright – and with a little luck, a winning bet on the under.
White Sox/Twins o7.5 (-120)
As we gear up for an epic battle between the Chicago White Sox and Minnesota Twins, it's time to analyze the potential for a high-scoring game that'll leave fans on the edge of their seats. With Lance Lynn pitching for the White Sox and Pablo Lopez taking the mound for the Twins, we're in for a game that's likely to blow past the total.
Both Lynn and Lopez have a history of being "overs" pitchers, meaning that the games they pitch in often see more runs scored than the combined game total. This trend bodes well for those looking to place a wager on tonight's showdown going over the total. Let's dig into some stats and see what's in store for this high-stakes matchup.
First up, let's talk about the White Sox's Lance Lynn. Throughout his career, Lynn has been known for his ability to rack up strikeouts, but he's also had his share of games where he's given up a hefty number of runs. In fact, his career ERA sits at 3.57, which, while respectable, still leaves room for opponents to put some runs on the board.
On the other side of the field, we have Pablo Lopez pitching for the Twins. Lopez has shown great promise throughout his young career, but has also experienced games where he's allowed a significant number of runs. With a career ERA of 4.07, it's clear that Lopez isn't immune to giving up some big hits and allowing opponents to cross the plate.
Now, let's take a look at how these pitchers have fared against their respective opponents. In nine career starts against the Twins, Lynn has a 3-4 record with a 5.14 ERA. He's pitched 49 innings against them, allowing 45 hits, 28 earned runs, and 22 walks, while striking out 53. These numbers suggest that the Twins have been able to capitalize on Lynn's pitching in the past, which bodes well for a high-scoring game today.
As for Lopez, he doesn't have an extensive history against the White Sox, but his career numbers indicate that he could be in for a challenge. With the White Sox boasting a potent lineup that's more than capable of piling up runs, it's safe to say that Lopez will have his work cut out for him in this matchup.
But it's not just the pitchers who will play a significant role in this game. Both teams have some serious firepower in their lineups. For the Twins, center fielder Byron Buxton has been on a tear, hitting .280 with 20 doubles, one triple, 15 homers, and 37 RBI in 66 games against the White Sox. He's also been successful on the basepaths, swiping seven bags in eight attempts. Shortstop Kyle Farmer is another hot hitter for the Twins, batting .318 with one homer, five RBI, and six runs scored this season. Farmer's even more impressive at Target Field, where he's a career .348 hitter with a homer and five RBI.
The White Sox, meanwhile, have their own set of offensive weapons. Dylan Cease, tonight's expected starter, has been on fire this season, posting a 1-0 record with a 1.59 ERA in two starts. In his most recent outing, he allowed just one hit – a solo home run – while walking five and striking out eight. Cease has had mixed results against the Twins in the past, going 3-4 with a 5.14 ERA in nine career starts, but his recent form suggests he could be a difference-maker in this game.
So, with all these factors in play, it's clear that we're in for an exciting, high-scoring game between the White Sox and Twins. While nothing in sports is ever a sure thing, the data points to a strong possibility of this contest going over the total.
Nationals/Angels u8.5 (-120)
As the Los Angeles Angels gear up for a three-game series against the Washington Nationals, all eyes are on two-way sensation Shohei Ohtani, who has been lights out when pitching at home. While the Angels boast a deep offensive roster including the likes of Mike Trout, Gio Urshela, and Hunter Renfroe, it's Ohtani's prowess on the mound that could be the deciding factor in tonight's game, keeping the total runs on the lower side.
Ohtani has consistently excelled while pitching at home, and with a history of games featuring strong home pitchers tending to go under the combined total, we're in for a treat as Ohtani faces off against the Nationals' Josiah Gray. This young and talented Nationals pitcher is no slouch either, and with both pitchers bringing their A-game, runs might be hard to come by.
The Angels' acquisition of Urshela and Renfroe in the offseason has proven fruitful, as both players have already made early contributions. However, with the Nationals' Stone Garrett looking to make an impact for the third game in a row, the Angels' offense will have to work hard to put runs on the board. Garrett has been on fire lately, going 4-for-5 with a home run, double, and five RBIs on Saturday, followed by a 2-for-5 performance in Sunday's 7-6 loss to the Colorado Rockies. Can he keep the momentum going against Ohtani's pitching?
Speaking of Ohtani, his numbers at home speak for themselves. In 2022, he boasted a 1.93 ERA while pitching at home, striking out 98 batters in just over 84 innings. His performance at Angel Stadium has been nothing short of dominant, and with the Nationals' offense ranking 20th in the league in runs scored per game, it wouldn't be surprising to see Ohtani keep them in check throughout the night.
On the other side, Josiah Gray has shown plenty of promise in his young career. The 24-year-old right-hander carries a 3.75 ERA and has racked up 72 strikeouts in 72 innings pitched in 2022. Gray's solid pitching, combined with Ohtani's home dominance, suggests a low-scoring duel could be on the horizon.
While the over/under for this game is set at 10 runs, the combination of Ohtani's home success and Gray's potential should give bettors reason to consider taking the under. As Yardbarker's Griffin Carroll suggests, the Angels' runline at -1.5 is also an option for those looking to back the home team in this matchup. However, the under might be the more intriguing play given the pitching prowess on display.
Tonight's game between the Washington Nationals and the Los Angeles Angels has all the makings of a low-scoring battle. With Shohei Ohtani's impressive track record at home and Josiah Gray's undeniable talent, runs could be scarce, making the under a compelling option for bettors. While there are no guarantees in sports, the data and stats suggest that taking the under might be the smart move for those looking to cash in on this MLB showdown.
Diamondbacks F5 ML (+110)
As we gear up for an electrifying matchup between the Arizona Diamondbacks and the Milwaukee Brewers, it's time to dig into the stats and analyze the factors that favor the D-backs in this showdown. Merrill Kelly, Arizona's talented right-hander, has historically had success against the Brewers lineup, giving the Diamondbacks a solid shot at victory in this highly anticipated game.
Coming off an impressive 11-6 triumph over the Los Angeles Dodgers on Sunday, the Arizona Diamondbacks boast a hot lineup with a recent 16-hit collection. To add to their offensive prowess, they accumulated 17 hits in their 12-8 victory over the Dodgers on Saturday. Outfielder Alek Thomas, who had four hits in Saturday's win, commented on the team's relentless mentality: "We're not going to give up. I think that's the mentality of the team. Just keep on going and good things will happen." With this kind of determination and grit, the Diamondbacks are undoubtedly a force to be reckoned with.
Arizona's speed and athleticism have also played a significant role in their recent success, as evidenced by their five stolen bases in Sunday's win. Infielder Josh Rojas, who stole 23 bases last season, believes the team is "changing the game a little bit" by employing an old-school style of play that emphasizes aggressive base-running and strategic bunting. These tactics have allowed the Diamondbacks to capitalize on the new rule changes in MLB, such as the bigger bases and pitch clock, which can make pitchers uncomfortable and more susceptible to mistakes.
On the other hand, the Milwaukee Brewers are coming off a 6-1 win over the St. Louis Cardinals, wrapping up a 5-1 homestand. While their bullpen has been solid, not allowing a run in the past 23 1/3 innings, the Brewers will have to contend with the formidable pitching prowess of Merrill Kelly. Kelly has historically found success against the Brewers lineup, and his experience and skill set make him a daunting opponent for Milwaukee.
Monday's probable pitchers are Milwaukee left-hander Wade Miley (1-0, 0.00 ERA) and Arizona righty Zac Gallen (0-1, 7.59). Miley, who pitched six scoreless innings in his first start with the Brewers, has had his share of injury issues, limiting him to only eight starts with the Chicago Cubs last season. Gallen, on the other hand, has not been at his best in his first two starts this year, but finished fifth in voting for the National League Cy Young Award last season, showcasing his potential for excellence.
It's worth noting that the Brewers recently acquired left-handed reliever Bennett Sousa in a trade with Cincinnati, a move that Milwaukee general manager Matt Arnold believes will bring "interesting ingredients" to the team. However, it remains to be seen how Sousa will fit into the Brewers' bullpen and whether he can make an immediate impact.
Given the Diamondbacks' hot lineup, aggressive base-running tactics, and Merrill Kelly's history of success against the Brewers, it's hard not to see Arizona as the favorite in this matchup. While Milwaukee's bullpen has been impressive recently, they will need to step up their game to overcome the solid pitching and relentless offense of the Arizona Diamondbacks. So, to all the sports betting enthusiasts out there, keep an eye on this thrilling face-off and don't sleep on the D-backs – they're set to dazzle in their quest for victory against the Brewers.
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