4 picks from data driven predictive model for tonight's NBA slate. Odds according to BetSaracen from Saracen Casino & Resort.
MIL Bucks -7 (-105)
The Milwaukee Bucks have been on a roll, winning their last eight road games and looking to extend that streak against the Orlando Magic on Tuesday. Giannis Antetokounmpo put up 23 points in their most recent game against the Washington Wizards, and the Bucks are firing on all cylinders.
The Bucks have been hitting their stride lately from 3-point range, shooting 44.9 percent from beyond the arc against the Wizards. With the team’s depth and the ability to make it through the season and be prepared for the playoffs, Milwaukee have been unstoppable. Jevon Carter put up 20 points off the bench, and Joe Ingles added 14 for a combined 34 points, giving the Bucks an edge against the Magic.
The Bucks have won their last 13 meetings against Orlando, including a 139-117 victory on March 1. The Magic are making a late push for a spot in the Eastern Conference play-in tournament, and are trying to avoid a two-game losing skid. But with their rookie Paolo Banchero averaging 28.5 points on 50 percent shooting in his last two games, they may have a chance to keep pace with Milwaukee.
If you're looking to make some money off this matchup, betting on the Bucks is the way to go. With their long-standing dominance over the Magic, impressive streak over the past month, and their immense depth, it’s hard to argue that they won’t be able to handle the spread of -7.
BKN Nets -6 (-110)
Tonight the Brooklyn Nets travel on the road to face the Houston Rockets. I think the Nets have what it takes to cover the spread against the Rockets.
The Rockets are currently 9-22 at home, while the Nets have won 10 of their last 14 games. This includes four of their last five, with their only loss coming at the hands of the Mavericks. The Nets have had to navigate the season without Kyrie Irving and Kevin Durant, but have been able to adjust and settle in with the help of their role players. Spencer Dinwiddie and Cameron Johnson have both stepped up and have been producing at an extremely high level. Dinwiddie is averaging 17.6 points per game and has scored at least 20 points in 28 games this season, while Johnson is averaging 15.4 points per game and has recorded at least 20 points in 7 games this season.
The Nets have also been playing excellent defense and have a Pythagorean expected wins total that correlates with covering the spread. Over their last 10 games, the Nets have held their opponents to an average of just 106 points per game. This will be a key factor in tonight's game, as the Rockets are averaging 107 points per game this season.
So, if you're looking to make a wager on tonight's game, I believe the Nets have what it takes to cover the spread and come away with a win. Get your bets in now and let's work together to cash this ticket!
GSW Warriors -4.5 (-110)
The Golden State Warriors are back in action and ready to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Tuesday. With Stephen Curry and Andre Iguodala returning from injury, the Warriors have the advantage and are favored by 4.5 points.
Whether you're a die-hard Warriors fan or just looking to win some bets, this is the game to watch. Golden State has struggled with a 7-14 record on the road this season; however, the Warriors look better from an analytics view with their Pythagorean Expectation of +7.8 points per game.
The Thunder are also dealing with injuries, but don't count them out just yet. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is back from an abdominal strain, and he put up 38 points in Sunday's win over the Jazz. The Thunder have dropped their first three games of the homestand but have won the last two, so they could be a surprise contender.
The Warriors have had the edge against the Thunder this season, averaging 134.5 points per game in their two victories. Klay Thompson had a particularly strong performance in the most recent game, scoring 42 points and hitting 12 3-pointers. With both Curry and Iguodala returning, the Warriors could be even better.
So don't miss out on this opportunity to make some money. The Warriors have the advantage and with the return of Curry and Iguodala, Golden State are in a strong position to cover the spread. Let's get ready to cash in with the Warriors.
DAL Mavericks -8.5 (-115)
In Tuesday night's matchup between the Dallas Mavericks and the Utah Jazz, the odds are in the Mavericks' favor. The Mavericks have an impressive 21-13 record at home and the Jazz have an 11-21 record on the road.
Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving have been making a huge impact since returning to the lineup and the Mavericks have won four of their last six games, including a 124-111 victory over the Jazz in Salt Lake City. On the other side of the matchup, the Jazz have gone 3-7 in their last ten games due to the departures of Mike Conley and Malik Beasley.
Statistically speaking, the Mavericks have a Pythagorean expectation of covering the spread. This means that the Mavericks are expected to win by more than 8.5 points, making them an attractive bet. The Mavericks have also had the upper hand in past matchups against the Jazz, and with the team in strong form at home, it's a great time to place a wager on the Mavericks.
With Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving leading the team, the Mavericks have the talent and experience to put together a convincing win. I'm laying the points with the Mavericks.
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