4 picks from data driven predictive model for today's MLB slate. Odds according to BetSaracen from Saracen Casino Resort.
NRFI: CLE Guardians/SEA Mariners NRFI (-120)
Hunter Gaddis (CLE) 2-0 NRFI record in his only two starts last year. This is his first time facing the Mariners.
Robbie Ray (SEA) 24-8 NRFI record last year, 15-3 when pitching at home.
NRFI cashed in 70% of away games for the Guardians last year.
NRFI cashed in 68% of home games for the Mariners last year.
NY Mets/MIA Marlins o7.5 (-105)
Tonight's MLB showdown between the New York Mets and Miami Marlins promises to be an offensive rollercoaster, as pitchers David Peterson and Jesus Luzardo take the mound.
As we gear up for tonight's face-off between the New York Mets and Miami Marlins, all signs point to a high-scoring game that's sure to have fans on the edge of their seats. With David Peterson pitching for the Mets and Jesus Luzardo taking the mound for the Marlins, history suggests we're in for an action-packed game that could easily surpass the combined game total.
First, let's take a look at the Mets' performance last season. They enjoyed a fantastic 2022 season, winning 101 games and reaching the postseason. Their offense was particularly impressive, as they led the National League with 1,422 hits and finished atop the NL in strikeout avoidance and batting average (.259). The Mets scored 772 runs in 2022, ranking third-most in the National League, and finished in the top four of the league in on-base percentage (.332) and OPS (.774). With five players generating at least 16 home runs in 2022, there's no doubt that the Mets have the firepower to put up some big numbers tonight.
On the other hand, the Miami Marlins come into this game with home-field advantage and excellent team speed. They led the National League with 122 stolen bases last season, and have added top-flight hitter Luis Arraez to their lineup. Arraez led the American League with a .316 batting average and earned an All-Star appearance in 2022. He's already off to a strong start this season, recording two hits in the opener on Thursday. With a lineup that's built for speed and a new power hitter in the mix, the Marlins have the potential to make some noise against the Mets' pitching.
Speaking of pitching, tonight's matchup features two pitchers who have a history of being involved in high-scoring games. Mets starter David Peterson struggled in the second half of 2022, posting a 5.13 ERA. Meanwhile, the Marlins' Jesus Luzardo didn't fare much better against the Mets, allowing ten hits, five walks, and seven runs in less than ten innings of work.
When looking at the history between these two teams, it's clear that the Mets have had the upper hand. In 2022, the Mets won 13 of 19 matchups against the Marlins, including the season opener on Thursday. However, with both teams' offenses showing potential for big numbers and the pitching matchup favoring a high-scoring game, anything can happen.
For sports bettors looking to place a wager on tonight's game, the over/under is a tempting option. With both teams boasting strong offenses and a history of high-scoring games featuring Peterson and Luzardo, it's not too much of a stretch to expect a combined game total that goes over the line.
Of course, as with any sports betting endeavor, there are no guarantees, and anything can happen on the field. But if you're a fan of high-scoring, action-packed games, tonight's Mets vs. Marlins matchup is one you won't want to miss.
So, grab your favorite beverage, get comfy in your favorite spot, and prepare for an evening of explosive offense as the New York Mets and Miami Marlins battle it out under the bright lights. And if you're feeling the urge to make things a bit more interesting, consider placing a wager on the over/under – but remember, there's no such thing as a "sure thing" in the world of sports betting.
CWS White Sox/HOU Astros u7.5 (-105)
The Chicago White Sox and Houston Astros are set for a thrilling MLB battle as veteran Lance Lynn takes on home hero Cristian Javier.
Baseball fans, we've got a marquee matchup on our hands with the Chicago White Sox facing off against the Houston Astros. Both teams are coming out swinging, with the White Sox sending out their experienced right-hander, Lance Lynn, to face the Astros' homegrown talent, Cristian Javier. These two pitchers have their own unique strengths and weaknesses, but one thing's for sure – we're in for an epic showdown.
Lance Lynn, the seasoned veteran, is no stranger to the pressures of pitching on the road. With a career ERA of 3.48 and over 1,600 strikeouts under his belt, Lynn brings both talent and experience to the mound for the White Sox. He's been a consistent force in the league, and there's no doubt he'll bring his A-game to this matchup. Keep an eye on this hurler, as he's known to rack up the Ks and keep opposing hitters on their toes.
On the other side, we've got the young gun, Cristian Javier. While he may not have the same level of experience as Lynn, don't count him out just yet. Javier has shown he's got the goods when pitching at home, boasting a 2.94 ERA at Minute Maid Park last season. With a history of being a profitable home pitcher, we could see him keeping the game's combined total low, making for some juicy under bets for our betting community.
But let's not focus solely on the pitchers – there's a whole lineup of sluggers ready to make their mark on this game. The White Sox have some serious firepower in their batting order, featuring the likes of Eloy Jimenez and Andrew Vaughn. Jimenez, who's set to take on the DH role this season, has a career .295 batting average and an impressive .858 OPS. He's shown success against Javier, going 2-5 with two singles in their previous encounters. Don't be surprised if he adds a homer to that tally in this game.
Andrew Vaughn, the former first-round draft pick, is also one to watch. He's taking over first base duties after José Abreu's departure, giving him the chance to shine at his natural position. Vaughn slashed .271/.321/.429 last season, with 17 home runs and 76 RBI, and he's had success against Javier's left-handed pitching. With the White Sox as a whole boasting a .299 average against Javier, we could see Vaughn and his teammates making a strong offensive impact in this game.
For the Astros, we can't ignore the rising star, Kyle Tucker. Fresh off his impressive showing at the World Baseball Classic, Tucker is entering this season with high expectations. He hit .257/.330/.478 with 30 home runs and 107 RBI last season and has had success against the White Sox's Lance Lynn, going 4-6 with two doubles and three RBI in their previous meetings. With MVP whispers surrounding him, Tucker is definitely a player to keep an eye on in this game and throughout the season.
So, what does all this mean for our betting community? We've got a pitching duel on our hands, with Javier's home success potentially leading to a low-scoring game. But don't sleep on the White Sox sluggers like Jimenez and Vaughn, who could make a significant impact against Javier. And with Kyle Tucker's star on the rise for the Astros, there's plenty of excitement and betting opportunities in this Opening Day matchup.
In the end, this game has all the makings of an instant classic. Two talented pitchers, explosive hitters, and the thrill of MLB Baseball – what more could we ask for? So buckle up, baseball fans, because this American League showdown is one you won't want to miss.
CLE Guardians/SEA Mariners u7.5 (-105)
Tonight's MLB showdown between the Cleveland Guardians and the Seattle Mariners is set to be a nail-biter, with the game likely going under the combined game total.
Baseball fans, grab your popcorn and buckle up for an epic showdown as the Cleveland Guardians take on the Seattle Mariners in a battle that's expected to stay under the combined game total. With Hunter Gaddis stepping up to the mound for the Guardians and Robbie Ray flexing his home field advantage for the Mariners, we're in for a rollercoaster of a game.
Let's talk numbers because, as we all know, stats don't lie. Robbie Ray, the Mariners' ace, has been nothing short of dominant when pitching at home. In fact, games featuring a strong home pitcher like Ray have a profitable history of staying under the combined game total. This spells good news for bettors looking to capitalize on the under in tonight's matchup.
But it's not all about the Mariners' prowess on the mound. The Cleveland Guardians are sending out their own weapon in the form of Hunter Gaddis. Gaddis, known for his impressive pitching skills, is expected to keep the Guardians in the game and limit the Mariners' run production. It's going to be a tight contest between these two pitchers, and we're here for it.
Now, let's dive deeper into the teams' offensive stats. The Guardians have had their fair share of struggles with power hitting in the past. In fact, they ranked second to last in home runs during the previous season, just ahead of the Detroit Tigers. On the other hand, the Mariners boasted an impressive fourth place in the American League in home runs last season. So, while the Guardians may be lacking in the power department, they'll need to rely on their solid pitching to keep them in the game.
But don't count out the Mariners' offense just yet. They've worked hard to address their weakness in getting on base consistently by adding both Kolten Wong and Teoscar Hernandez to their lineup. Wong, a seasoned veteran with a track record of hitting at least .249 in six straight seasons, brings stability and consistency to the Mariners' batting order. Hernandez, a power hitter with a combined 57 home runs and a .279 batting average in the past two seasons, adds some serious firepower to the lineup.
Considering the Mariners' success against the Guardians last season – a 6-1 record – it's hard not to feel confident in their chances tonight. However, with both teams boasting talented pitchers and the Mariners' bolstered lineup, we're in for an intense, low-scoring game.
So, what's the bottom line for all you bettors out there? With both Gaddis and Ray on the mound, the stage is set for a pitcher's duel that will likely keep the combined game total under the line. While there are no guarantees in baseball, the stats and matchups point towards a tight, low-scoring contest that will have fans on the edge of their seats.
Get ready for a thrilling MLB showdown as the Cleveland Guardians and Seattle Mariners put their pitchers to the test in a game that's shaping up to be an underdog's dream. Don't miss out on this epic clash that promises to deliver all the excitement and drama we've come to expect from these two talented teams.
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