1 pick from data driven predictive model and 4 player props for today's NBA slate. Odds according to BetSaracen from Saracen Casino & Resort.
Utah Jazz +1 (-110) @ OKC Thunder
It's time to put your money where your mouth is. The Utah Jazz have had a rollercoaster season so far, but with a winning percentage of 49.2%, they're ready to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Jazz are heading into the matchup a bit shorthanded, with Collin Sexton and Jordan Clarkson both missing some games recently due to injuries. Meanwhile, the Thunder are without Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Kenrich Williams, making it an even tougher game for them.
But don't let the injuries fool you. Rookie Josh Giddey put on an impressive show against the Lakers in Wednesday's game. He showed some real promise and spoke about the need for consistent aggressiveness on the court.
In the last game between these two teams, Lauri Markkanen scored a whopping 43 points in the 120-119 overtime victory in Salt Lake City. Plus, the Jazz have averaged 19.5 turnovers per game over the past four games, making this matchup even more favorable for them.
With their impressive roster and stats on their side, they are well-positioned to take the win against the Oklahoma City Thunder. I'm backing the Utah Jazz tonight.
Terry Rozier (CHA) u10.5 Reb + Ast (+110)
Rozier has been a consistent presence for the Charlotte Hornets this season, averaging 4.4 rebounds and assists per game, but he's been trending downwards recently. Over the last 10 games, he's averaged 3.0 rebounds and 7.5 assists and had more than 10.5 rebounds and assists in just 2 of those games.
Data suggests that Rozier is more likely to have less than 10.5 rebounds and assists against the Magic, making the under a safer pick. This makes it a great choice for those who don't want to take too much of a risk. Projections have him at 3.0 rebounds and 7.5 assists, and considering that he has only played two games against Orlando this season and averaged 3.0 rebounds and 7.5 assists in those games, the under is the slightly more likely outcome.
At the end of the day, Rozier is a seasoned player who can have a big game, but the data implies that the under is the more likely outcome for his rebounds and assists against the Magic. So let's work together to make sure we come out on top and bet the under on Rozier's performance.
Luguentz Dort (OKC) u20.5 Pts + Ast (-130)
Dort is coming off a season-high 21 points in Tuesday's loss to the Kings, but his performance has been inconsistent this season. He's averaging 16.33 points and 6.8 assists this season, with 15.4 points and assists at home and 12.7 points and assists on the road.
Over his last 20 games, Dort is averaging 16.65 points and 6.8 assists, with a high of 23 points and assists in one game and a low of 4 points and assists in another. Of those 20 games, he has gone over the 20.5 line in five of them. Over the last 10 games, Dort is averaging 15.5 points and 6.8 assists, and has gone over the 20.5 line in one of those games. Over the last five games, Dort is averaging 17.2 points and 6.8 assists, and has gone over the 20.5 line in one of those games. This indicates that Dort is trending up, but he is still far from a sure bet to go over the 20.5 points and assists line.
Projections for Dort's points and assists line in the upcoming game against the Jazz are at 11 points and 6.8 assists, showing that the under is the more likely outcome. Dort has gone under the 20.5 line in nine of his last 10 games, making it a sensible bet for the matchup. Additionally, Dort has only one game against Utah this season, in which he recorded 11 points and 6.8 assists.
If you want to make a smart bet and bring home some cash, the under looks like the way to go for the upcoming game between the Thunder and the Jazz. With Dort trending downward over the last 10 games and averaging 15.5 points and 6.8 assists, the under looks like the more likely bet for the Thunder guard's combined points and assists line in the matchup against Utah.
Josh Hart (NYK) o11.5 Pts + Ast (+100)
Josh Hart has been a force since joining the New York Knicks this season. In seven appearances, he's been averaging 12.4 points, 5.1 rebounds, 3.4 assists, and 1.3 steals per game. Hart and his college buddy, Jalen Brunson, have been playing well together with the help of power forward Julius Randle, who was just named an NBA All-Star for the second time in three years.
Hart has been consistently going over 11.5 points and assists in 8 of his last 10 games, averaging 16.6 points and assists over this stretch. In his last 5 games, Hart has been trending down with 13.4 points and assists and going over 11.5 points and assists in 3 of those games. His average points and assists this season is 13.76, with 13.33 when playing at home and 14.21 when playing away. Hart has had more than 11.5 points and assists in 40 games this season and less in 18 games.
Friday's game against Miami is an important one for the Knicks, who are currently 5th in the Eastern Conference, 3 1/2 games ahead of the Heat in 7th place. Miami is dealing with several key injuries, including a sore right knee for leading scorer Jimmy Butler and a knee injury that kept starting point guard Kyle Lowry out for 10 straight games. The Heat have added two bigs from the buyout market -- five-time All-Star Kevin Love and backup Cody Zeller -- in the last two weeks and are hoping they can help turn around their fortunes.
We're making it easy for you to cash in on this one. Josh Hart is ready to go over 11.5 points and assists against Miami. He's been trending up in his last 10 games and has gone over 11.5 points and assists in 8 of those games. His average points and assists this season is 13.76, and projections are predicting him to have around a combined 16.1 points and assists. In addition, the Heat are dealing with several injuries, making it more likely that Hart will have a good game. So if you're looking for a good value added bet, put your money on Josh Hart to go over 11.5 points and assists against Miami.
Derrick White (BOS) o14.5 Pts + Reb (-110)
This season, White has averaged 15.14 points and 11.8 rebounds, with 11.7 points and rebounds at home and 12.0 points and rebounds on the road. He's gone over the 14.5 points and rebounds line in 22 of his 63 games this season, and over the last 20 games, he's averaged 15.6 points and 11.6 rebounds. During his last 10 games, White has been on fire, with averages of 18.8 points and 11.9 rebounds, going over 14.5 points and rebounds in 10 of those games. White has also been consistent when facing the Brooklyn Nets, with 3 games this season and averaging 10.7 points and rebounds.
The numbers don't lie - White is a reliable scorer and rebounder and he's trending up. With projections for White's upcoming game at 22.5 combined points and rebounds, betting the over on his points and rebounds line of 14.5 is a smart move. Don't miss out on this opportunity to cash in.
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