3 player props for tonight's NBA slate. Hopefully, we can turn the tide and end this cold streak in player props. Odds according to BetSaracen from Saracen Casino Resort.
Bismack Biyombo (PHX) u13.5 Pts+Reb (-105)
Bismack Biyombo's recent downward trend and lackluster performance against the Lakers make it more likely that he will go under 13.5 combined points and rebounds tonight.
The NBA world is buzzing with anticipation for tonight's showdown between the LA Lakers and the Phoenix Suns, but one player who's not likely to make waves is Bismack Biyombo. The Suns' big man has been on a cold streak lately, and the stats suggest that he's not about to heat up any time soon. As a result, it's a smart move to take the under on Biyombo's combined points and rebounds total of 13.5 for tonight's game.
Let's start with the cold, hard numbers. Biyombo has been underperforming this season, averaging just 7.59 points and rebounds per game. While he's managed to put up slightly better numbers at home (8.18 points and rebounds), his performance on the road has been dismal, with an average of 6.87 points and rebounds. With the Suns visiting the Lakers tonight, it's not looking good for Biyombo to hit that 13.5 mark.
But the struggles don't end there. Over his last 20 games, Biyombo's average points and rebounds have only reached 8.2, and he's only managed to exceed 13.5 points and rebounds in four of those games. Sadly, the trend gets even worse as we narrow the scope. In his last 10 games, Biyombo has averaged a paltry 4.8 points and rebounds, failing to reach 13.5 points and rebounds in any of those contests. And it’s no different in his last five games, with an average of 5.2 points and rebounds – still nowhere close to that 13.5 threshold.
It's clear that Biyombo's downward trend is not something that can be ignored. The fact that he's been unable to surpass 13.5 points and rebounds in 10 consecutive games is a glaring red flag for anyone considering the over on his prop tonight. The numbers don't lie, and in this case, they're pointing to a disappointing performance from the Suns' center.
But wait, there's more! When we look specifically at Biyombo's performance against the Lakers this season, his stats don't inspire much confidence. In two games against the Lakers, Biyombo has averaged just 6.5 points and rebounds. It's pretty evident that the LA Lakers have managed to keep him in check, making his chances of hitting the over on his points and rebounds prop even slimmer.
Sure, the Suns are dealing with some roster issues, including the absence of Deandre Ayton and the recent trade of Mikal Bridges and Cam Johnson. This could potentially lead to more opportunities for Biyombo, who did contribute 20.5 DraftKings Fantasy Points in 20.1 minutes in his last game filling in for Ayton. However, his season-long average of 0.93 DraftKings Fantasy Points per minute and the Lakers' solid defense against opposing centers don't make for a convincing case that Biyombo will suddenly break out of his slump and hit the over tonight.
So, for all you sports betting enthusiasts out there, it's time to face the facts: Bismack Biyombo's recent struggles, coupled with his poor history against the Lakers, make it more likely that he'll fall short of 13.5 combined points and rebounds tonight. Don't let the Suns' roster issues and Biyombo's potential for increased minutes fool you – the under is the smarter play here, and it's time to cash in on that knowledge.
Malaki Branham (SAS) u13.5 Pts (-110)
The numbers don't lie: Malaki Branham's recent performance shows he's more likely to stay under 13.5 points in tonight's matchup against Milwaukee.
It's no secret that the NBA has become a hotbed for betting action, and we're here to deliver the goods on one of tonight's most intriguing props: Malaki Branham's point total. The San Antonio Spurs rookie has been an interesting player to watch this season, but as the saying goes, you've got to follow the trends. With Branham recently falling under the 13.5-point line in eight of his last ten games, it's time to take a closer look at why this prop bet should be on your radar.
To kick things off, let's dive into Branham's season averages. The 19-year-old is putting up 9.32 points per game overall, with a slight uptick in performance on the road (9.56 PPG) compared to home games (9.1 PPG). These numbers already lean in favor of the under, but it's essential to break down his performance in smaller sample sizes to understand the bigger picture.
Over the last 20 games, Branham has averaged 13.3 points per contest, surpassing the 13.5-point mark in nine of those outings. While this might seem like a reason to back the over, it's crucial to examine his more recent performance. In his last ten games, the rookie has averaged just 9.2 points per game, only eclipsing the 13.5-point threshold twice. This downward trend becomes even more apparent when you look at the fact that he's had less than 13.5 points in 44 of his 56 games this season.
However, it's also worth noting that Branham has been trending up in his last five games, averaging 10.0 points per game and going over 13.5 points in two of those contests. While this might cause some hesitation, it's essential to remember that sports betting is all about playing the odds and looking for the best value. Given Branham's overall performance and recent trends, the under 13.5 points prop holds the most value.
Another factor to consider is the competition. Tonight, the Spurs are going up against the Milwaukee Bucks, a team known for their defensive prowess. The Bucks are likely to focus their attention on shutting down San Antonio's primary scorers, which could result in limited opportunities for Branham. Additionally, with the Spurs potentially missing key players due to rest, Branham could be thrust into a more prominent role, but it doesn't guarantee increased production.
Lastly, it's important to remember that no bet is a "sure thing" or a "safe bet." The unpredictability of sports is what makes betting so exciting, and there's always a chance that Branham could have a breakout performance tonight. However, by analyzing the data and understanding the trends, we can make more informed decisions and increase our chances of success.
Malaki Branham's recent performance and tonight's matchup against Milwaukee make the under 13.5 points prop a compelling pick. As always, it's crucial to stay informed, follow the trends, and make educated bets. So, sit back, enjoy the game, and keep an eye on Branham's point total – here's hoping it stays under 13.5!
Jusef Nurkic (POR) u14.5 Pts (-120)
Jusuf Nurkic's recent performance trends and the upcoming matchup against Utah make the under 14.5 points line a tempting bet for savvy NBA enthusiasts.
Portland Trail Blazers' Jusuf Nurkic has been a force on the court when he's healthy, but his recent performances have left us scratching our heads and questioning if he'll hit the over 14.5 points line in the upcoming game against the Utah Jazz. While the big man can ball, the numbers don't lie, and the data is pointing towards the under for Nurkic's points in this matchup.
Let's dive into the stats, shall we? Nurkic is averaging 13.22 points this season, which is already below the 14.5 line we're discussing. His home and away splits show a significant difference, with 15.11 points at home and just 11.08 points on the road. Considering the game against Utah is on the road, this doesn't bode well for Nurkic hitting the over.
Now, let's break it down even further. In the last 20 games, Nurkic has averaged 11.4 points, going over 14.5 points in just 5 of those games. Over the last 10 games, he's averaging 10.2 points and has only hit the over in 2 games. In the most recent 5 games, Nurkic has averaged 10.0 points and has gone over the 14.5 points mark just once. These trends indicate that Nurkic is struggling to consistently put up points lately, making the under a more appealing bet.
But let's not stop there. We've got more data to back up this spicy take. Nurkic has played against Utah three times this season, and he's averaged 14.33 points in those games. While that's closer to the line we're discussing, it's still not quite there, and considering his recent performances, we're not feeling confident he'll surpass that average.
Now, we know what you're thinking. Maybe Nurkic is just in a slump, and he'll bounce back against the Jazz. Sure, it's possible, but let's not forget the Jazz are no pushovers defensively. They're one of the better teams in the league, and their defense has been known to stifle opposing players, especially big men like Nurkic.
So, what does this all mean? It means we're riding the under 14.5 points train for Jusuf Nurkic in the upcoming game against Utah. The numbers don't lie, and the recent performance trends combined with the challenging matchup make it difficult to see Nurkic hitting the over. While we're not offering any guarantees, we're feeling pretty good about this bet, and we think you should too.
As always, remember to bet responsibly and enjoy the game. We'll be back with more data-driven insights and hot takes for your NBA betting needs. Until then, happy wagering, and may the odds be ever in your favor.
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