3 player props for tonight's NBA slate. Odds according to BetSaracen from Saracen Casino Resort.
Sandro Mamukelashvili (SAS) u13.5 Pts+Ast (-115)
Today, we're diving deep into San Antonio Spurs' Sandro Mamukelashvili's performance and why betting the under on his combined points and assists prop of 13.5 seems like a smart move.
First off, let's take a look at Mamukelashvili's season averages. The young baller is putting up a modest 4.56 points and assists per game. Digging deeper, we find that his home games see a slight uptick to 5.33, while his road games drop to 3.57. Considering that tonight's game is on the road, this doesn't bode well for Mamu's chances of hitting that 13.5 mark.
Another glaring stat to consider is that Mamukelashvili has not surpassed 13.5 points and assists in any of his 32 games this season. Furthermore, when examining his performance over the last 20 games, he's averaging 5.6 points and assists combined, with zero games exceeding the 13.5 line. This trend continues when narrowing the scope to his last 10 games, with an average of 7.9 points and assists but still no games above the line. Even in his last five games, where he's been trending up with 9.6 points and assists, he hasn't managed to break that elusive 13.5 barrier.
Now, let's factor in the opponent - the New Orleans Pelicans. In their sole matchup this season, Mamukelashvili recorded a mere 2.0 points and assists. While it's true that past performance isn't always indicative of future results, it does provide some insight into how a player may fare against a specific team.
It's also important to consider the context of the Spurs' current situation. With multiple key players sidelined, including Zach Collins, Keldon Johnson, Jeremy Sochan, and Devin Vassell, there's no doubt that San Antonio will be running with a skeleton crew for tonight's game. Although this could mean more minutes for Mamukelashvili, it also puts more pressure on him to perform against a Pelicans squad that has been playing well as of late.
Taking all these factors into account, it becomes apparent that betting the under on Sandro Mamukelashvili's 13.5 combined points and assists is the logical choice. Even though he's shown improvement over the last few games, the road game setting, his history against the Pelicans, and the Spurs' depleted roster all point to the likelihood that he'll struggle to surpass that line.
While nothing in sports betting is ever a guarantee, it's essential to make informed decisions based on the data and relevant information at hand. In the case of Sandro Mamukelashvili's points and assists prop for tonight's game, the evidence strongly suggests that going under 13.5 is the savvy move. So, fellow bettors, buckle up for an intense matchup between the Spurs and Pelicans, and keep an eye on Mamukelashvili's performance as the game unfolds.
Tre Jones (SAS) u16.5 Pts+Reb (-130)
Tonight's matchup between the New Orleans Pelicans and the San Antonio Spurs offers an intriguing opportunity, specifically with Tre Jones' combined points and rebounds line set at 16.5. Let's dive into the numbers and see why the under is the play tonight.
First, let's look at Jones' season averages. The young guard is averaging 15.91 points and rebounds this season, so at first glance, the line seems pretty spot-on. However, when we dig deeper, we can see that he's been trending down lately. Over the last 20 games, Jones has averaged only 14.4 points and rebounds, and in the last 10 games, that number drops even further to 11.1. In fact, he hasn't gone over 16.5 points and rebounds in any of his last 10 games.
Home and away splits can sometimes offer insights into a player's performance, but in this case, Jones' numbers are fairly consistent. He's averaging 16.29 points and rebounds at home, and 15.35 points and rebounds on the road. However, considering the game is in New Orleans, it's worth noting that in three games against the Pelicans this season, Jones has averaged only 14.67 points and rebounds.
Taking a closer look at the last five games, Jones' numbers have continued to slide. He's averaged 13.4 points and rebounds during that stretch and hasn't gone over 16.5 points and rebounds in any of those contests. Considering these numbers and the recent trend, it's hard to make a case for Jones reaching the over tonight.
In addition, the Pelicans boast a solid defense that could contribute to Jones' struggles tonight. New Orleans ranks in the top half of the league in defensive efficiency, making it even more challenging for Jones to break out of his recent funk and hit the over.
Of course, no bet is a sure thing, and anything can happen in the unpredictable world of the NBA. Jones could have a breakout performance tonight and make us all look foolish. However, based on the data and recent trends, it's hard to ignore the fact that the under seems like the more likely outcome tonight.
Tre Jones' recent performance, his history against the Pelicans, and the solid New Orleans defense all point to the under being the play tonight on his combined points and rebounds prop of 16.5. While nothing is guaranteed in sports betting, the numbers and trends suggest that Jones will struggle to reach that mark, making the under a compelling choice for bettors looking to cash in on tonight's NBA action. So, grab your popcorn and enjoy the game, but keep an eye on Jones' stat line as you cheer for the under to hit.
Marcus Smart (BOS) u8.5 Ast+Reb (-130)
As we gear up for another exciting night of NBA action, one player prop to keep an eye on is Marcus Smart's combined points, assists, and rebounds. For those of you who love to crunch the numbers and dive deep into the stats, this one's for you. Despite being a key contributor for the Boston Celtics, the data suggests that Smart will struggle to surpass the 8.5 line in tonight's game against the Kings.
Before we jump into the nitty-gritty, let's quickly touch on Smart's season averages. The Celtics' guard is averaging 21.0 combined points, assists, and rebounds for the season. At home, that number bumps up to 21.8, while on the road, it dips slightly to 20.31. However, the recent trend paints a different picture, which should be a cause for concern if you're thinking about betting the over on Smart's prop.
Over the last 20 games, Smart's combined points, assists, and rebounds have taken a downward turn, averaging just 19.55. And, if we drill down even further, the trend continues to plummet. In his last 10 games, Smart has averaged 18.3, with the number dropping to a mere 15.6 over his last five contests. That's right, folks, Smart has been consistently trending down in recent games, which should have bettors eyeing the under with keen interest.
But wait, there's more! When examining Smart's performance against the Sacramento Kings, it's worth noting that in their sole meeting this season, he managed only 13.0 combined points, assists, and rebounds. This stat alone should have you leaning towards the under when considering Smart's prop for tonight's game.
Now, let's not forget that Smart has gone under the 8.5 line in 9 of his last 10 games. That's a 90% success rate for those of you keeping track at home. With numbers like these, it's hard to ignore the trend and not feel confident about taking the under on Smart's combined points, assists, and rebounds.
It's important to remember that while we're presenting you with the data and trends, nothing is ever a sure thing in the world of sports betting. However, given Smart's recent performance and his history against the Kings, it's hard not to feel a strong inclination towards the under on his 8.5 line.
So, as you sit down to enjoy tonight's game between the Celtics and the Kings, keep an eye on Marcus Smart and his performance. Will he defy the recent trend and surpass the 8.5 line, or will the data prove to be accurate once again? Only time will tell, but one thing is certain: this is a prop that should have bettors and fans alike buzzing with anticipation.
While Marcus Smart has been a valuable asset for the Boston Celtics, his recent performance and history against the Sacramento Kings suggest that taking the under on his 8.5 combined assists and rebounds line is a smart (pun intended) move for bettors tonight. As always, remember to do your research, stay informed, and most importantly, have fun with your bets. Best of luck, and may the odds be ever in your favor!
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