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3/14/2023 NCAAB Bets

Kyle Kennedy

Postseason play kicks off tonight in college basketball. 3 picks from data driven predictive model for tonight's NCAAB slate. Odds according to BetSaracen from Saracen Casino Resort.

Pitt +2.5 (-110)

If you're looking to make some money on the upcoming NCAA tournament game between the Pittsburgh Panthers and Mississippi State Bulldogs, the Panthers are the way to go. With their advantage in tempo and Adjusted Offensive Efficiency, they are primed to beat the spread and make you some cash!


The Panthers play fast and furious, averaging 76.1 points per game and outscoring opponents by 5.6 points per game. This is in stark contrast to the Bulldogs, who play at a much slower tempo and average 66.8 points per game. The Panthers also have the edge in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency, with an average of 111.3 compared to the Bulldogs' 104.3.


The Bulldogs do have the edge in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency, however, with a score of 93.3, so they have the potential to be a tough out. D.J. Jeffries is leading the Bulldogs' defense with 5.3 defensive rebounds per game.


The Panthers have several players that can make a difference in the game. Jamarius Burton is scoring 15.6 points per game with 4.8 rebounds and 4.3 assists, while Blake Hinson is averaging 15.2 points and 5.5 rebounds over the past 10 games. On the Mississippi State side, Tolu Smith is averaging 15.8 points and 8.5 rebounds, and Shakeel Moore is averaging 11.2 points over the last 10 games.


So, if you're looking to make some money, the Pittsburgh Panthers are your best bet! With their advantage in tempo and Adjusted Offensive Efficiency, they are the team to beat the spread. Put your money on the Panthers and get that cash!


Washington St -10.5 (-105)

Are you ready to bet on the Washington State Cougars and make some cash? If so, you're in luck. The Cougs are ready to cover the spread against the Eastern Washington Eagles in the National Invitation Tournament. With a significant advantage in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency (AOE) and Adjusted Defensive Efficiency (ADE), Wazzu looks primed to take down their in-state rivals and give you the edge you need to win your bets.


For starters, Washington State is the ninth-ranked team in the Pac-12, with 11.8 assists per game. They've gone 11-9 against Pac-12 teams, and 6-7 in non-conference play. Justin Powell is leading the charge with 10.5 points per game, while TJ Bamba is averaging 18.4 points over the last 10 games.


Meanwhile, the Eagles are 16-2 against Big Sky opponents. They're the Big Sky leader with 33.2 rebounds per game, with Casey Jones averaging 5.7. Steele Venters is averaging 2.3 made 3-pointers per game and 15.3 points, while shooting 38.3% from beyond the arc. Angelo Allegri is shooting 54.7% and averaging 16.0 points over the past 10 games.


The Cougars have the edge in AOE and ADE. Over the last 10 games, the Cougars' opponents have averaged 66.5 points per game, while the Eagles' opponents have averaged 73.3 points. This suggests that the Cougars have the defensive edge, which could be the key to them covering the spread.


Washington State also has the offensive edge. They have scored an average of 68.8 points per game over their last 10, while the Eagles have averaged 79.5 points. This suggests that the Cougars have the offensive advantage, which could help them to control the scoring and cover the spread.


With their AOE and ADE advantage, Washington State looks ready to take down the Eagles and help you win your bets. The Cougars have been consistent in their performance and have the edge in both offensive and defensive efficiency. With their performance over the last 10 games, the Cougars have the potential to come out on top against the Eagles and help you make some money.


Michigan -6.5 (+100)

The Michigan Wolverines are looking to take down the Toledo Rockets in the National Invitation Tournament on Tuesday night, and the Wolverines are the clear favorites to cover the spread of -6.5. Michigan has the edge when it comes to Adjusted Defensive Efficiency, and that could be the difference in the game.


The Wolverines have been the better team in the Big Ten this season, with a record of 11-9 and an average of 73.1 points per game while shooting 44.7% from the field. Hunter Dickinson has been leading the way for Michigan with 18.4 points per game and 9.0 rebounds, while Jett Howard has been on fire in the last 10 games, averaging 2.1 made 3-pointers.


Toledo has been dominating the MAC with a 16-2 record, but the Rockets have been struggling to score points, ranking ninth in the MAC with 8.1 offensive rebounds per game. Dante Maddox Jr. has been leading the way with 11.5 points while shooting 45.4% from beyond the arc, while Rayj Dennis has also been lighting it up in the last 10 games, shooting 56.0% and averaging 21.6 points.


Despite Toledo's offensive struggles, the Rockets have been impressive on the defensive end, and that could be the deciding factor. The Rockets have the advantage in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency, but the Wolverines have a significant edge when it comes to Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. With their size and height advantage, it's clear that Michigan has the edge in this matchup, and they should be able to cover the spread.


The Wolverines have been solid over the last 10 games, going 5-5 while averaging 72.9 points, 34.9 rebounds, 10.3 assists, 4.0 steals, and 5.3 blocks per game while shooting 45.3% from the field. Meanwhile, the Rockets have been nearly unbeatable in the last 10 games, going 9-1 while averaging 87.2 points, 29.0 rebounds, 14.2 assists, 6.5 steals, and 2.8 blocks per game while shooting 51.7% from the field.


With the Wolverines' size and height advantage and their significant advantage in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency, the Michigan Wolverines should be able to cruise to a victory and cover the spread.

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