7 best bets for tonight's NCAA Basketball slate. Odds according to BetSaracen.
Western Carolina -5.5 (+100)
Model Proj: Western Carolina -10.8
Western Carolina has significant advantage in offensive efficiency and the advantage in defensive efficiency.
Tennessee Tech does have the size advantage, but Western Carolina has over a full year experience advantage.
William & Mary +3.5 (-105)
Model Proj: William & Mary +0.8
12.35% eFG% edge for William & Mary
Norfolk State allows significantly more offensive rebounds
Norfolk State relies on getting to the free throw line but also puts opponents on the free throw line at a higher rate
Ball State +2.5 (-115)
Model Proj: Ball State -3.8
Ball State plays at a slower pace, they could slow this game down
Arkansas-Little Rock allows significantly more offensive rebounds and puts opponents at the free throw line much more
Kansas State -14.5 (+100)
Model Proj: Kansas State -16.9
Kansas State has the better offense, significantly better defense, and deeper bench
Kansas State gathers 20.84% more offensive rebounds than Oral Roberts
Utah State -6.5 (-105)
Model Proj: Utah State -13.8
Utah State has a better offense and defense than Saint Louis
Utah State also has the size advantage
Idaho State +6.5 (+100)
Model Proj: Idaho State +4.9
Idaho State and Pepperdine are similar across metrics with the exception of offensive efficiency. Pepperdine has a decent edge in that department
The major knock on Idaho State is the amount of offensive rebounds they allow. If they are able to limit Pepperdine's offensive rebounds. They can keep this game close.
Portland +2.5 (-100)
Model Proj: Portland -1.7
Portland gets to the free throw line at a higher rate than Portland State.
Portland has the size advantage in this matchup.
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