3 bets from profitable trends, 3 picks and a parlay from data driven predictive model.
Trend Plays
Minnesota +14.5 (-120) - teams coming off a big loss facing ranked opponents cover in 61%. I like Minnesota at home.
UTSA +15.5 (-105) - Home Dogs vs Ranked Opponents are covering at 60% rate since 2019.
Monmouth +20.5 (-110) - Home Dogs vs Ranked Opponents are covering at 60% rate since 2019.
Model Plays
New Mexico State/Southern Utah u149.5 (-110) – 60% model confidence, 15% edge.
Northeastern/Stony Brook o129.5 (-105) – 59.4% model confidence, 15% edge.
Delaware -5.5 (-110) – 60.2% model confidence, 15% edge.
Value Added ML Parlay:
UTEP ML, South Dakota State ML, San Francisco ML, & Nicholls ML (+145).
Model edges – UTEP: 15.1%, S Dakota St: 15.1%, San Francisco: 14.1%, & Nicholls: 14%
コメント