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1/18/2023 College Basketball Bets

Kyle Kennedy

1 Trend Play, 3 picks and a parlay from data driven predictive model.

Trend Play: Nebraska +5.5 (-105)


Fade the public in the major conference games is a profitable trend. Ohio State is getting 78% of bets and 69% of money. This line opened at 4.5. Winning on the road is hard enough. I’ll take the points with Nebraska


Model Plays:


Army -5.5 (-110) – 60.2% model confidence, 14.9% edge

Cincinnati/South Florida o141.5 (-110) – 60.1% model confidence, 14.8% edge

West Virginia ML (-150) – 65.4% model confidence, 14.6% edge


Parlay: Oregon ML, Pitt ML, & Drake ML (-109)


Three heavy favorites showing some edge on my predictive model. Oregon: 89.7% model confidence, 15.1% edge. Pitt: 96.6% model confidence, 16.1% edge. Drake: 89.4% model confidence, 13.8% edge. Put the 3 together for a value added parlay.


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