1 trend play, 3 picks and a parlay from data driven model for 1/17/2023 college basketball slate.
Trend Play: Penn State +3.5 (-110)
Fading the public in major conference games. 79% of bets and 93% of money has been placed on Wisconsin. So, I’ll hop on the other side. Penn State is #14 in offensive EFG% and #1 in Turnover %; whereas, Wisconsin is ranked #182 in offensive EFG%. I'm taking the points with Penn State.
Model Plays from data driven model:
Wake Forest ML (-155) – 67.8% model confidence, 14.9% edge
Houston/Tulane u147.5 (-110) – 60.2% model confidence, 14.5% edge
Toledo -8.5 – 61.3% model confidence, 15.5% edge
Parlay: Richmond ML, VCU ML, & Toledo ML (-119)
Solid favorites with the model seeing valuable edge. Richmond 15.5% edge, Toledo 15.5% edge, & VCU 14.3% edge. Put them all together for a value parlay.
Comments